THIRD AND DATA
Houston logo14Houston
7–2 overall · 4–2 Big 12
Willie Fritz
at
Colorado logoColorado
3–6 overall · 1–5 Big 12
Deion Sanders
2026 · Week 11
Fri, Nov 13, 2026 · 9:15 PM CT · ESPN
Folsom Field · Boulder, CO
50,183 seats · grass
At kickoff45° · 3 mph SSW

Colorado's night-game skid meets No. 14 Houston

Deion Sanders' Buffaloes, at 3-6, host a 7-2 Houston team coming off its first win over Cincinnati since 2016.

Third and Data
Written with AI and reviewed by our staff.

Colorado has lost 17 of its last 18 night games against ranked opponents, a skid dating to 2016. No. 14 Houston fits that description, and Deion Sanders is 2-11 as a head coach against ranked teams. The Buffaloes have also lost 5 straight night games and 10 of their last 11, dating to 2025.

Houston is 7-2 and 4-2 in conference play, and last week it beat Cincinnati 31-24 for the first time since 2016, ending a five-game losing streak in the series. Re'Shaun Sanford II ran for a career-high 126 yards against the Bearcats, topping his previous best of 120 against Georgia Southern. Houston's two losses both came on the road, 28-26 at No. 13 Texas Tech and 21-13 at No. 10 Utah.

Colorado is 3-6 and 1-5 in conference play after a 20-10 loss at Arizona State last week. A week earlier, Colorado beat Kansas State 27-24, one of its two wins over Power 4 opponents along with a 14-13 win at Georgia Tech.

Houston's margin, Colorado's deficit

Against Power 4 opponents, Houston is +29 in point margin, 24th nationally and sixth in its conference. Colorado is -108 in the same games, 82nd nationally and 16th in its conference.

Houston gains 445 yards a game, 10th nationally, and allows 394, 45th. Colorado gains 363, 39th, and allows 378, 33rd. By yardage, the Colorado defense is the better of the two defenses on the field.

Houston holds the ball 32:14 a game, eighth nationally, against Colorado's 28:22, 60th. Colorado is penalized 71 yards a game, 78th nationally, to Houston's 57, 49th.

Where it's decided

When Houston has the ball, it can beat a defense either way. Against Power 4 opponents, Houston throws for 269 yards a game, 13th nationally, and runs for 175, 12th. Houston scores on 50.9% of its drives, 10th nationally, and averages 27.8 points, 23rd. The Colorado defense allows 135 rushing yards a game, 30th nationally, and 243 passing yards, 44th.

Conner Weigman leads Houston in passing yards with 2,279, with 22 touchdowns, 2 interceptions and a 66.1 completion percentage. Weigman's 22 touchdown passes rank second in the Big 12, and his 29 total touchdowns rank third. Houston returns 96% of its 2025 passing yards.

Amare Thomas leads Houston in receiving yards with 698 and in catches with 47, and his 8 touchdown catches tie for third in the Big 12. Patrick Overmyer adds 497 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns. Makhi Hughes leads Houston in rushing yards with 607, and Sanford has 573.

The red zone is Houston's soft spot: it scores on 77.8% of its trips, 59th nationally. Colorado allows scores on 83.8% of opponent red zone trips, 39th.

When Colorado has the ball, points have been scarce. Colorado scores 15.8 points a game against Power 4 opponents, 73rd nationally and 16th in its conference, and scores on 22.3% of its drives, 75th. The Buffaloes throw for 238 yards a game, 31st, and run for 126, 44th.

Isaac Wilson leads Colorado in passing yards with 1,412, with 8 touchdowns, 8 interceptions and a 61.7 completion percentage. Colorado returns 24% of its 2025 passing yards.

Joseph Williams leads Colorado in receiving yards with 853 and in catches with 58, and he ranks second in the Big 12 in both. DeAndre Moore Jr. adds 526 receiving yards, and JaQuail Smith leads Colorado in rushing yards with 396.

The Houston defense allows 23.0 points a game, 24th nationally, but opponents succeed on 48.8% of their runs, 77th. Kentrell Webb leads Houston in tackles with 50.

Lampron anchors a rebuilt Colorado defense

Colorado returns 3% of its 2025 tackles for loss, 2 of 60, along with 10% of its tackles and 7% of its sacks. Transfers brought in 65 tackles for loss from 2025, and Gideon Lampron accounted for 17.5 of them.

Lampron leads Colorado with 95 tackles, tied for third in FBS, and his 15 tackles for loss lead the Big 12. Lampron is also tied for the Colorado lead with 5 sacks. Santana Hopper is tied for second in the Big 12 with 14 tackles for loss.

Third down, strength against strength

Against Power 4 opponents, Houston converts 53.0% of its third downs, first nationally. Colorado holds those opponents to 37.6% on third down, 26th nationally and fourth in its conference. Houston's 50.4% success rate on all snaps ranks third nationally, and the Colorado defense allows 41.9%, 33rd.

Houston keeps the ball, Colorado gives it up

Houston has run 191 straight offensive plays without a turnover, since an interception against Oklahoma State. Against Power 4 opponents, Houston is +5 in turnover margin, 12th nationally. Colorado is -11 in the same games, 88th nationally and 16th in its conference.

Hunter faces the Cougars

Colorado offensive lineman Demetrius Hunter was on Houston's roster in 2022-25, and he faces the Cougars for the first time since leaving.

Hughes and Ashton Porter both transferred to Houston from Oregon, and Porter leads the Cougars in sacks with 3. Colorado added three 4-star transfers: Moore and linebacker Liona Lefau from Texas, and safety Boo Carter from Tennessee.

Houston had 1 player drafted, tight end Tanner Koziol, who went to Jacksonville in the fifth round, 164th overall. Koziol's 727 receiving yards in 2025 were the only Houston receiving yards lost to the NFL.

Weigman is full go; Colorado waits on Welch and Scudero

Update, Fri, Nov 13, 7:45 PM CT: Since Thursday's report, Colorado upgraded Elliott Arnold (doubtful to a game-time decision), Tyler Martinez (questionable to available) and Vili Taufatofua (questionable to available); downgraded Braylon Edwards (doubtful to out). Since Thursday's report, Houston upgraded De'Marion Thomas (probable to available), Ejiro Egodogbare (probable to available), JD Rhym (probable to available) and Travis Buhake (probable to available). On the latest report, Colorado lists Naeten Mitchell, Micah Welch, Danny Scudero and 3 others as out or doubtful, and Elliott Arnold as a game-time decision. Houston lists Aaron Wolford as out or doubtful.

Willie Fritz said Nov. 2 that Weigman, who has had a left ankle and foot injury but missed no time, is "full go" after a good practice, according to the Houston Chronicle via Yahoo Sports.

Sanders said Oct. 20 that Colorado running back Micah Welch was hurting, did not practice and may have broken something, and that he did not know the severity, according to Yahoo Sports. Welch, second on Colorado in rushing yards with 220, was listed Out on the Big 12 availability report for the last 3 games.

Receiver Danny Scudero was listed Out on the last 6 Big 12 reports. Sanders said Oct. 20 that Scudero is passionate about getting back and doing everything he can to progress, with no return date given, according to Yahoo Sports. Scudero arrived at Colorado with 1,297 receiving yards from 2025.

Houston took the last one, and the series is even

The series is tied 1-1 since the first meeting, a bowl game on Dec. 31, 1971. Houston won the last meeting 36-20 at home in 2025, and Stephon Johnson had 117 receiving yards.

That 2025 Houston team went 10-3, and the Colorado team it beat finished 3-9.

Three things to watch

Colorado's second quarter: Power 4 opponents have outscored the Buffaloes 77-17 in that quarter this season.

Houston's big plays: the Cougars have 17 plays of 40 yards or more, tied for the third-most in FBS.

Colorado's path: the Buffaloes are 2-1 in one-score games, and Houston allows 14.6 points a game in the second half against 6.8 in the first.

Injury news since this brief was published

  • Colorado DL Lamont Lester Jr. · Questionable
    Sanders acknowledged Lester needs proper treatment and enough recovery time before returning to his usual level of performance.
    Deion Sanders, Oct. 22, via Yahoo Sports (Colorado Buffaloes On SI) · Source

Availability this week

Colorado4 reports
PlayerTue 9pWed 9pThu 9pFri 7:45p
Naeten MitchellDBOutOutOutOut
Elliott ArnoldPKQuest.Quest.DoubtfulGame-time
Micah WelchRBOutOutOutOut
Tyler MartinezLBQuest.Quest.Quest.Available
Danny ScuderoWROutOutOutOut
Vili TaufatofuaDLDoubtfulQuest.Quest.Available
Braylon EdwardsDBDoubtfulDoubtfulDoubtfulOut
Kaleb MathisWROutOutOutOut

+1 more (hover for names)

Houston4 reports
PlayerTue 9pWed 9pThu 9pFri 7:45p
De'Marion ThomasDLProbableProbableProbableAvailable
Ejiro EgodogbareDLProbableProbableProbableAvailable
JD RhymDBProbableProbableProbableAvailable
Travis BuhakeDLQuest.Quest.ProbableAvailable
Aaron WolfordOLQuest.OutOutOut

Rankings vs Power 4

Rankings based on games vs Power 4 only, min 2.

HoustonOverallColoradoNatConfConfNat#26#7+19Point margin−98#16#82#12#2+4Turnover margin-10#16#88#8#231:54Time of possession28:33#5#35#56#1256 ydsPenalty yds70 yds#16#79
Houston offensevsColorado defenseNatConfConfNat#18#628.4Scoring29.6#10#53#9#3270Passing yds246#12#61#9#5180Rushing yds143#9#43#4#2449Total yds389#11#55#1#153.5%3rd-down rate39.8%#7#37#50#1180.6%Red zone scoring85.4%#11#47#7#251.5%Drive score / stop51.9%#14#63#1#150.5%Success rate43.1%#11#46#4#250.2%Rush success rate43.4%#9#45#3#250.8%Pass success rate42.8%#9#50
Houston defensevsColorado offenseNatConfConfNat#36#625.7Scoring18.7#15#66#58#11243Passing yds235#6#22#57#11161Rushing yds139#9#30#58#12404Total yds375#9#25#80#1651.8%3rd-down rate40.3%#10#30#55#1486.4%Red zone scoring79.2%#14#61#36#859.4%Drive score / stop25.7%#16#70#71#1347.0%Success rate39.6%#12#46#75#1548.6%Rush success rate39.3%#13#51#65#1345.5%Pass success rate39.9%#8#37
HoustonSpecial teamsColoradoNatConfConfNat#31#920.8Kick return avg11.5#15#82#5#214.8Punt return avg6.3#11#58#17#416.8Kick coverage avg30.5#16#81#63#1411.0Punt coverage avg9.4#11#53

Player stats vs Power 4

Games vs Power 4 only. Top 3 at each position.

HoustonQuarterbacks · Pass ydsColoradoNatConfConfNat#13#51,887C. WeigmanI. Wilson1,632#6#23J. Lewis367#21#92K. Sweetwyne70#27#170
HoustonRunning backs · Rush ydsColoradoNatConfConfNat#32#8501M. HughesJ. Smith421#12#46#47#13421R. Sanford IIR. Young312#19#77#563#9314D. ButlerD. Taylor187#33#144
HoustonWide receivers · Rec ydsColoradoNatConfConfNat#27#8552A. ThomasJ. Williams810#1#3#107#29335T. WalkerD. Moore Jr.472#12#43#156#41254K. YoungQ. Farrakhan Jr.294#34#131
HoustonTight ends · Rec ydsColoradoNatConfConfNat#56#14445P. OvermyerC. Williams103#89#364#378#9298L. McGaryF. Clements16#167#1009#1348#2084K. Thomas
HoustonDefensive line · SacksColoradoNatConfConfNat#203#462K. LaufauL. Lester Jr.4#7#45#298#701.5Q. LeeT. Anene2.5#29#137#330#721A. PorterY. Talib2#56#246
HoustonLinebackers · TacklesColoradoNatConfConfNat#366#7728J. YatesG. ESPN Lampron104#1#1#377#8227C. GlassL. Lefau73#5#10#533#11523S. FotuT. Martinez15#202#875
HoustonDefensive backs · TacklesColoradoNatConfConfNat#155#3242J. WhiteR. Fontenette82#2#4#157#3342K. WebbN. Mitchell54#15#68#429#9926J. AllenB. Carter36#45#231

Special teams vs Power 4

Games vs Power 4 only.

HoustonField goals · Made/attColoradoNatConfConfNat#17#49/10J. DimasE. Arnold5/7#11#56
HoustonLong field goals · 50+ ydsColoradoNatConfConfNat#27#81J. Dimas
HoustonKicking · PointsColoradoNatConfConfNat#35#849J. DimasE. Arnold27#15#65
HoustonPunting · AverageColoradoNatConfConfNat#9#347.3L. DoughertyD. Greaves45.9#7#20
HoustonPunts inside the 10 · PuntsColoradoNatConfConfNat#22#65L. DoughertyD. Greaves5#5#19
HoustonKickoffs · Touchback %ColoradoNatConfConfNat#34#872%Z. YoakamE. Arnold74%#7#27

Success rate

Success rate against Power 4 opponents this season
When Houston has the ball
All snaps
50.4%
41.9%
Runs
50.0%
42.5%
Passes
50.7%
41.4%
When Colorado has the ball
All snaps
39.0%
47.4%
Runs
38.1%
48.8%
Passes
39.9%
46.2%

By down and quarter

Colorado · Success rate

vs Power 4

ColoradoOpponents

1st
40
45
2nd
41
40
3rd
36
38
4th
25
50

Colorado · Points a game

vs Power 4

ColoradoOpponents

Q1
3.9
3.4
Q2
2.1
9.6
Q3
4.6
6.8
Q4
4.4
9.1

Houston · Success rate

vs Power 4

HoustonOpponents

1st
52
49
2nd
46
45
3rd
53
49
4th
62
43

Houston · Points a game

vs Power 4

HoustonOpponents

Q1
6.3
2.2
Q2
6.3
4.5
Q3
9.7
8.0
Q4
5.5
8.3

Colorado: offense vs Power 4

Success rate by downAvg 39%
33
36
41
67
45
39
33
0
35
48
19
0
36
48
38
25
36
39
40
46
30
38
100
41
33
50
48
50
31
0
Points by quarterAvg 15.8 a game
0
7
0
7
0
0
7
0
3
0
3
7
7
0
0
0
0
0
17
7
14
10
0
0
7
0
7
7
0
0
3
7
@ Georgia Tech
@ Northwestern
@ Baylor
Texas Tech
Utah
@ Oklahoma State
Kansas State
@ Arizona State
Houston
@ Cincinnati
UCF

Houston: offense vs Power 4

Success rate by downAvg 50%
56
44
60
48
50
50
33
38
52
50
100
52
58
54
100
50
20
53
0
69
44
50
50
Points by quarterAvg 27.8 a game
10
7
3
6
0
0
14
13
7
14
14
0
7
7
14
7
0
3
10
0
14
7
3
7
@ Texas Tech
UCF
@ Kansas State
Oklahoma State
@ Utah
Cincinnati
@ Colorado
@ West Virginia
Baylor