Week 9 · 2023

Air Force at Colorado State

Sat 10/28/2023 07:00 PMCanvas StadiumColorado State pregame16%Pregame win probability: 16% for Colorado State. Air Force favored, and won.Conference

27°Snowfall6 mph ENE · 85% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Air Force

30

9–4

Colorado State

13

5–7

Attendance

22,570

reported

CSU8 plays, 44 yd · On downs

14:55own 35Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 60 yds , return for no gain to the CSU 100
14:551st & 5own 15Vann Schield run for 3 yds to the CSU 18+3
14:552nd & 2own 18Vann Schield run for 10 yds to the CSU 28 for a 1ST down+10
14:551st & 10own 28Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 17 yds to the CSU 45 for a 1ST down+17
14:551st & 10own 45Vann Schield run for 3 yds to the CSU 48+3
14:552nd & 7own 48Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 4 yds to the AFA 48+4
14:553rd & 3opp 48Vann Schield run for 2 yds to the AFA 46+2
11:474th & 1opp 46Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for no gain to the AFA 460

AF12 plays, 54 yd · Touchdown

11:471st & 10own 46Dane Kinamon run for 3 yds to the AFA 49+3
11:472nd & 7own 49John Lee Eldridge III run for 10 yds to the CSU 41 for a 1ST down+10
11:471st & 10opp 41Emmanuel Michel run for 6 yds to the CSU 35+6
11:472nd & 4opp 35Emmanuel Michel run for 1 yd to the CSU 34+1
11:473rd & 3opp 34Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds to the CSU 32+2
11:474th & 1opp 32Zac Larrier run for 2 yds to the CSU 30 for a 1ST down+2
11:471st & 10opp 30Zac Larrier run for 2 yds to the CSU 28+2
11:472nd & 8opp 28John Lee Eldridge III run for 7 yds to the CSU 21+7
11:473rd & 1opp 21Zac Larrier run for 6 yds to the CSU 15 for a 1ST down+6
11:471st & 10opp 15John Lee Eldridge III run for 2 yds to the CSU 13+2
11:472nd & 8opp 13Owen Burk run for 4 yds to the CSU 9+4
5:033rd & 4opp 9Zac Larrier pass complete to Dane Kinamon for 9 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)+9

CSU10 plays, 29 yd · Punt

4:58own 35Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds0
4:581st & 10own 8Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 8 yds to the CSU 16+8
4:582nd & 2own 16Vann Schield run for 1 yd to the CSU 17+1
4:583rd & 1own 17Louis Brown IV run for 2 yds to the CSU 19 for a 1ST down+2
4:581st & 10own 19Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 9 yds to the CSU 28+9
4:582nd & 1own 28Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 4 yds to the CSU 32 for a 1ST down+4
4:581st & 10own 32Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dawson Menegatti for 1 yd to the CSU 33+1
4:582nd & 9own 33Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 4 yds to the CSU 37+4
4:583rd & 5own 37Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
0:564th & 5own 37Paddy Turner punt for 47 yds, downed at the AFA 160

AF5 plays, 2 yd · Punt

0:561st & 10own 16John Lee Eldridge III run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 12−4
0:002nd & 14own 12Zac Larrier run for 6 yds to the AFA 18+6
0:00own 12End of 1st Quarter0
15:003rd & 8own 18Zac Larrier pass incomplete0
14:464th & 8own 18Carson Bay punt for 43 yds0

CSU1 play, 61 yd · Touchdown

14:381st & 10own 39Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 61 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)+61

AF9 plays, 17 yd · Punt

14:38own 35Bryan Hansen kickoff for 65 yds0
14:381st & 10own 25Emmanuel Michel run for 1 yd to the AFA 26+1
14:382nd & 9own 26John Lee Eldridge III run for 1 yd to the AFA 27+1
14:383rd & 8own 27Zac Larrier run for 9 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down+9
14:381st & 10own 36Emmanuel Michel run for no gain to the AFA 360
14:382nd & 10own 36Zac Larrier run for no gain to the AFA 360
11:064th & 4own 42Timeout Colorado State, clock 11:060
11:063rd & 10own 36Zac Larrier pass complete to Caleb Rillos for 6 yds to the AFA 42+6
10:594th & 4own 42Carson Bay punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tory Horton at the CSU 100

CSU13 plays, 67 yd · Field goal

10:591st & 10own 10Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 14 yds to the CSU 24 for a 1ST down+14
10:591st & 10own 24Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 8 yds to the CSU 32+8
10:592nd & 2own 32Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
10:593rd & 2own 32Vann Schield run for 8 yds to the CSU 40 for a 1ST down+8
10:591st & 10own 40Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vann Schield for 9 yds to the CSU 49+9
10:592nd & 1own 49Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 14 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down+14
10:591st & 10opp 37Vann Schield run for 2 yds to the AFA 35+2
10:592nd & 8opp 35Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vann Schield for 9 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down+9
10:591st & 10opp 26Vann Schield run for 3 yds to the AFA 23+3
7:243rd & 7opp 23Timeout Colorado State, clock 07:240
7:242nd & 7opp 23Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
7:243rd & 7opp 23Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
7:154th & 7opp 23Jordan Noyes 40 yd FG GOOD+40

AF5 plays, 2 yd · Punt

7:15own 35Bryan Hansen kickoff for 63 yds0
7:151st & 10own 25Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the AFA 30+5
7:152nd & 5own 30Zac Larrier run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 27−3
7:153rd & 8own 27Zac Larrier pass incomplete0
5:434th & 8own 27Carson Bay punt for 44 yds0

CSU2 plays, -13 yd · Turnover

5:431st & 10own 32Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
5:312nd & 10own 32Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the CSU 11−13

AF3 plays, 11 yd · Touchdown

5:311st & 10opp 11Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds to the CSU 9+2
5:312nd & 8opp 9John Lee Eldridge III run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 10−1
4:003rd & 9opp 10John Lee Eldridge III run for 10 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore PAT MISSED)+10

CSU10 plays, 43 yd · Field goal

4:00own 35Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 49 yds0
4:001st & 10own 25Vann Schield run for 5 yds to the CSU 30+5
4:002nd & 5own 30Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 14 yds to the CSU 44 for a 1ST down+14
4:001st & 10own 44Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 5 yds to the CSU 49+5
4:002nd & 5own 49Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 17 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down+17
4:001st & 10opp 34Vann Schield run for 1 yd to the AFA 33+1
4:002nd & 9opp 33Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 1 yd to the AFA 32+1
0:484th & 8opp 32Timeout Colorado State, clock 00:480
0:483rd & 8opp 32Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
0:454th & 8opp 32Jordan Noyes 49 yd FG GOOD+49

AF5 plays, 14 yd · End of period

0:45own 35Bryan Hansen kickoff for 65 yds0
0:451st & 10own 25Aiden Calvert run for 12 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down+12
0:451st & 10own 37Zac Larrier pass complete to John Lee Eldridge III for 3 yds to the AFA 40+3
0:00own 39End of 2nd Quarter0
0:002nd & 7own 40Zac Larrier sacked by Grady Kelly and James Mitchell for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 39−1

AF12 plays, 75 yd · Touchdown

15:00own 35Bryan Hansen kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback0
15:001st & 10own 25John Lee Eldridge III run for 9 yds to the AFA 34+9
15:002nd & 1own 34Colorado State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down+15
15:001st & 10own 49Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the CSU 48+3
15:002nd & 7opp 48Zac Larrier run for 4 yds to the CSU 44+4
15:003rd & 3opp 44John Lee Eldridge III run for 12 yds to the CSU 32 for a 1ST down+12
15:001st & 10opp 32Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds to the CSU 30+2
15:002nd & 8opp 30John Lee Eldridge III run for 2 yds to the CSU 28+2
15:003rd & 6opp 28Zac Larrier pass complete to Brandon Engel for 14 yds to the CSU 14 for a 1ST down+14
15:001st & 10opp 14Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the CSU 10+4
15:002nd & 6opp 10John Lee Eldridge III run for 9 yds to the CSU 1 for a 1ST down+9
8:581st & goalopp 1Zac Larrier run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)+1

CSU9 plays, 22 yd · Punt

8:58own 35Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds0
8:581st & 10own 25Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
8:582nd & 10own 25Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 6 yds to the CSU 31+6
8:583rd & 4own 31Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 12 yds to the CSU 43 for a 1ST down+12
8:581st & 10own 43Vann Schield run for 2 yds to the CSU 45+2
8:582nd & 8own 45Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 2 yds to the CSU 47+2
6:574th & 6own 47Timeout Air Force, clock 06:570
6:573rd & 6own 47Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
6:504th & 6own 47Paddy Turner punt for 53 yds for a touchback0

AF9 plays, 69 yd · Field goal

6:501st & 10own 20Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds to the AFA 22+2
6:502nd & 8own 22Zac Larrier run for 3 yds to the AFA 25+3
6:503rd & 5own 25Emmanuel Michel run for 53 yds to the CSU 22 for a 1ST down+53
6:501st & 10opp 22Colorado State Penalty, Defensive Holding (4 Yards) to the CSU 9 for a 1ST down+4
4:141st & goalopp 9KINAMON, Dane rush to the right for a gain of 9 yards to the CSU0, TOUCHDOWN AFA, score nullified by penalty, clock 04:14 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY AFA Holding on ELDRIDGE III, John Lee enforced 10 yards from the CSU9 to the CSU19. NO PLAY (replay the down).−10
4:141st & goalopp 19Zac Larrier run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 20−1
4:142nd & goalopp 20Emmanuel Michel run for 6 yds to the CSU 14+6
4:143rd & goalopp 14Dane Kinamon run for 3 yds to the CSU 11+3
2:034th & goalopp 11Matthew Dapore 29 yd FG GOOD+29

CSU5 plays, 0 yd · Punt

2:03own 35Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 62 yds0
2:031st & 10own 25Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
2:032nd & 10own 25Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
2:033rd & 10own 25Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
1:384th & 10own 25Paddy Turner punt for 48 yds, downed at the AFA 270

AF7 plays, 22 yd · Punt

1:381st & 10own 27Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the AFA 32+5
0:002nd & 5own 32Emmanuel Michel run for 12 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down+12
0:00own 32End of 3rd Quarter0
15:001st & 10own 44Dane Kinamon run for 2 yds to the AFA 46+2
15:002nd & 8own 46Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the AFA 49+3
15:003rd & 5own 49Zac Larrier pass incomplete0
13:544th & 5own 49Carson Bay punt for 41 yds, downed at the CSU 100

CSU8 plays, 26 yd · On downs

13:541st & 10own 10Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 7 yds to the CSU 17+7
13:542nd & 3own 17Colorado State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CSU 12−5
13:542nd & 8own 12Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 6 yds to the CSU 18+6
13:543rd & 2own 18Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 15 yds to the CSU 33 for a 1ST down+15
13:541st & 10own 33Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked by PJ Ramsey for a loss of 6 yards to the CSU 27−6
13:542nd & 16own 27Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
13:543rd & 16own 27Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 9 yds to the CSU 36+9
10:514th & 7own 36Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0

AF4 plays, 36 yd · Touchdown

10:511st & 10opp 36QB Keeper LARRIER, Zac rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the CSU34 (WILSON, Chase;BLACKBURN, Henry). PENALTY CSU Face mask on WILSON, Chase enforced 15 yards from the CSU34 to the CSU19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).+15
10:511st & 10opp 19Emmanuel Michel run for 11 yds to the CSU 8 for a 1ST down+11
10:511st & goalopp 8Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the CSU 5+3
8:512nd & goalopp 5Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)+5

CSU13 plays, 60 yd · On downs

8:51own 35Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback0
8:511st & 10own 25Vann Schield run for 6 yds to the CSU 31+6
8:512nd & 4own 31Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dallin Holker for 5 yds to the CSU 36 for a 1ST down+5
8:511st & 10own 36Vann Schield run for 3 yds to the CSU 39+3
8:512nd & 7own 39Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 14 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down+14
8:511st & 10opp 47Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 15 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down+15
8:511st & 10opp 32Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
8:512nd & 10opp 32Vann Schield run for 4 yds to the AFA 28+4
8:513rd & 6opp 28Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 6 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST down+6
8:511st & 10opp 22Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
8:512nd & 10opp 22Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Louis Brown IV for 7 yds to the AFA 15+7
8:513rd & 3opp 15Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0
5:044th & 3opp 15Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete0

AF10 plays, 20 yd · End of period

5:041st & 10own 15Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the AFA 19+4
5:042nd & 6own 19Owen Burk run for 5 yds to the AFA 24+5
5:043rd & 1own 24Zac Larrier run for 6 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down+6
5:041st & 10own 30Owen Burk run for 4 yds to the AFA 34+4
1:281st & 10own 41Timeout Air Force, clock 01:280
1:282nd & 6own 34Owen Burk run for 7 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down+7
1:281st & 10own 41Kneel down by LARRIER, Zac at AFA39 (team loss of 2).0
1:282nd & 12own 39Kneel down by LARRIER, Zac at AFA37 (team loss of 2).0
0:003rd & 14own 37Kneel down by LARRIER, Zac at AFA35 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.0
0:00own 35End of 4th Quarter0

Field position is from the offense’s point of view, the same as the drive chart. Play descriptions are CFBD’s own.

Previous 10 meetings vs. Team

Colorado State 2–8 vs Air Force

  • 2022 · wk 12Colorado State 12 @ Air Force 24
  • 2021 · wk 11Air Force 35 @ Colorado State 21
  • 2019 · wk 12Air Force 38 @ Colorado State 21
  • 2018 · wk 13Colorado State 19 @ Air Force 27
  • 2017 · wk 9Air Force 45 @ Colorado State 28
  • 2016 · wk 11Colorado State 46 @ Air Force 49
  • 2015 · wk 7Air Force 23 @ Colorado State 38
  • 2014 · wk 14Colorado State 24 @ Air Force 27
  • 2013 · wk 14Air Force 13 @ Colorado State 58
  • 2012 · wk 5Colorado State 21 @ Air Force 42

Previous 4 meetings vs. Jay Norvell

Air Force 3–1 vs Jay Norvell

  • 2022 · wk 12Colorado State 12 @ Air Force 24
  • 2021 · wk 12 (coaching change that season)Air Force 41 @ Nevada 39
  • 2018 · wk 5Nevada 28 @ Air Force 25
  • 2017 · wk 8Air Force 45 @ Nevada 42

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Previous 10 meetings vs. Troy Calhoun

Colorado State 2–8 vs Troy Calhoun

  • 2022 · wk 12Colorado State 12 @ Air Force 24
  • 2021 · wk 11Air Force 35 @ Colorado State 21
  • 2019 · wk 12Air Force 38 @ Colorado State 21
  • 2018 · wk 13Colorado State 19 @ Air Force 27
  • 2017 · wk 9Air Force 45 @ Colorado State 28
  • 2016 · wk 11Colorado State 46 @ Air Force 49
  • 2015 · wk 7Air Force 23 @ Colorado State 38
  • 2014 · wk 14Colorado State 24 @ Air Force 27
  • 2013 · wk 14Air Force 13 @ Colorado State 58
  • 2012 · wk 5Colorado State 21 @ Air Force 42

Research

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