THIRD AND DATA

Week 11 · 2025

LSU at #4 Alabama

Sat 11/08/2025 07:30 PMBryant-Denny StadiumAlabama pregame76% — Pregame win probability: 76% for Alabama. Alabama favored, and won.Conference

64°Clear0 mph N · 97% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

LSU

9

7–6

#4 Alabama

20

11–4

Attendance

100,077

reported

Passing

LSU
B. Brown5 of 8Z. Thomas5 of 5A. Anderson4 of 4Other9 of 13Unattributed0 of 2
DeepShort
—
—
0.0
5.84.4
6.67.0
4.93.6
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Alabama
L. Brooks4 of 7G. Bernard3 of 6D. Hill1 of 4Other13 of 18Unattributed1 of 1
DeepShort
6.49.0
0.0
53.06.0
6.84.7
9.06.0
6.06.4
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
LSU
DeepShort
—
—
0%
44%0.90
38%-0.35
29%1.39
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Alabama
DeepShort
20%1.66
0%
100%3.78
50%1.56
43%1.80
42%1.40
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
LSU
DeepShort
—
—
0
52
53
68
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Alabama
DeepShort
32
0
53
68
63
72
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
LSU
DeepShort
—
—
-0.7
1.6
-2.2
1.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Alabama
DeepShort
-1.6
-1.0
3.8
4.9
2.5
3.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
LSU
DeepShort
—
—
— · —
17 · 35
25 · 28
28 · 40
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Alabama
DeepShort
23 · 9
— · —
47 · 6
35 · 33
39 · 24
14 · 58
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

LSU
H. Berry11C. Durham3G. Nussmeier1Other1Unattributed6
7.717%100%
3.218%0%
2.820%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Alabama
J. Miller8D. Hill7T. Simpson2Other2Unattributed3
3.914%0%
1.938%0%
1.614%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
LSU
46
35
11
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Alabama
27
13
11
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
LSU
1.9
2.1
-1.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Alabama
-0.6
-0.9
-2.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
LSU
16 · 5 · 27
26 · 9 · 2
10 · 1 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Alabama
23 · 5 · 0
12 · 0 · 0
11 · 0 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. LSU

Alabama 8–2 vs LSU

  • 2024 · wk 11Alabama 42 @ LSU 13
  • 2023 · wk 10LSU 28 @ Alabama 42
  • 2022 · wk 10Alabama 31 @ LSU 32
  • 2021 · wk 10LSU 14 @ Alabama 20
  • 2020 · wk 14Alabama 55 @ LSU 17
  • 2019 · wk 11LSU 46 @ Alabama 41
  • 2018 · wk 10Alabama 29 @ LSU 0
  • 2017 · wk 10LSU 10 @ Alabama 24
  • 2016 · wk 10Alabama 10 @ LSU 0
  • 2015 · wk 10LSU 16 @ Alabama 30

Previous meeting vs. Kalen DeBoer

LSU 0–1 vs Kalen DeBoer

  • 2024 · wk 11Alabama 42 @ LSU 13

Previous 5 meetings vs. Brian Kelly

Alabama 4–1 vs Brian Kelly

  • 2024 · wk 11Alabama 42 @ LSU 13
  • 2023 · wk 10LSU 28 @ Alabama 42
  • 2022 · wk 10Alabama 31 @ LSU 32
  • 2020 · wk 17Notre Dame 14 @ Alabama 31
  • 2012 · wk 16Notre Dame 14 @ Alabama 42

Research

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