THIRD AND DATA

Week 9 · 2025

#25 Michigan at Michigan State

Paul Bunyan Trophy, held by MichiganSat 10/25/2025 07:30 PMSpartan StadiumMichigan State pregame18% — Pregame win probability: 18% for Michigan State. Michigan favored, and won.Conference

44°Cloudy3 mph NE · 70% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

#25 Michigan

31

9–4

Michigan State

20

4–8

Attendance

75,085

reported

Passing

Michigan
D. McCulley1 of 6A. Marsh3 of 4J. Haynes3 of 3Other1 of 4
DeepShort
0.0
—
0.0
3.89.5
2.83.0
10.65.3
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Michigan State
N. Marsh6 of 13O. Kelly3 of 6C. Mccray3 of 4Other7 of 10Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
0.0
—
24.01.0
4.53.0
10.34.5
4.83.4
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Michigan
DeepShort
0%
—
0%
40%0.37
40%0.28
40%1.33
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Michigan State
DeepShort
0%
—
100%1.76
29%1.40
67%1.52
33%1.17
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Michigan
DeepShort
0
—
0
19
14
53
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Michigan State
DeepShort
0
—
24
63
31
72
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Michigan
DeepShort
-1.0
—
-0.7
-0.5
-0.8
1.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Michigan State
DeepShort
-0.3
—
1.8
2.1
2.6
-3.1
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Michigan
DeepShort
— · —
—
— · —
0 · 19
5 · 9
37 · 16
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Michigan State
DeepShort
— · —
—
23 · 1
39 · 24
22 · 9
45 · 27
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Michigan
J. Haynes25J. Marshall15B. Underwood4Unattributed2
5.411%0%
7.00%83%
5.00%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Michigan State
E. Tau-Tolliver5B. Tullis2A. Milivojevic1Unattributed22
9.30%0%
2.320%71%
7.910%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Michigan
49
223
20
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Michigan State
28
46
79
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Michigan
6.6
10.9
-0.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Michigan State
-3.4
-2.2
2.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Michigan
33 · 12 · 7
128 · 30 · 74
17 · 3 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Michigan State
10 · 5 · 15
40 · 5 · 0
32 · 12 · 39
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. Michigan

Michigan State 4–6 vs Michigan

  • 2024 · wk 9Michigan State 17 @ Michigan 24
  • 2023 · wk 8Michigan 49 @ Michigan State 0
  • 2022 · wk 9Michigan State 7 @ Michigan 29
  • 2021 · wk 9Michigan 33 @ Michigan State 37
  • 2020 · wk 9Michigan State 27 @ Michigan 24
  • 2019 · wk 12Michigan State 10 @ Michigan 44
  • 2018 · wk 8Michigan 21 @ Michigan State 7
  • 2017 · wk 6Michigan State 14 @ Michigan 10
  • 2016 · wk 9Michigan 32 @ Michigan State 23
  • 2015 · wk 7Michigan State 27 @ Michigan 23

Previous meeting vs. Jonathan Smith

Michigan 1–0 vs Jonathan Smith

  • 2024 · wk 9Michigan State 17 @ Michigan 24

Previous meeting vs. Sherrone Moore

Michigan State 0–1 vs Sherrone Moore

  • 2024 · wk 9Michigan State 17 @ Michigan 24

Research

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