Week 9 · 2025

#16 Virginia at North Carolina

Sat 10/25/2025 12:00 PMKenan StadiumNorth Carolina pregame22% — Pregame win probability: 22% for North Carolina. Virginia favored, and won.Conference

61°Fair4 mph NW · 34% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

#16 Virginia

11–3

North Carolina

4–8

Attendance

50,500

reported

Passing

AttemptsSuccessYdsPointsAir / YAC

Virginia1 unplaced1 int

J. Edrine6 of 7J. Taylor4 of 6S. Ennis2 of 6Other8 of 15

DeepShort

0.0

9.38.0

—

6.36.3

6.30.8

5.33.2

LeftMiddleRight

caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best

North Carolina2 unplaced2 int

M. Tucker8 of 9J. Shipp7 of 8K. Paysour3 of 7Other5 of 7Unattributed0 of 3

DeepShort

7.70.0

—

0.0

6.11.5

7.95.0

4.96.8

LeftMiddleRight

caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best

Virginia1 unplaced

DeepShort

33%2.33

—

33%1.23

29%0.50

40%1.44

LeftMiddleRight

successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best

North Carolina2 unplaced

DeepShort

33%0.65

—

63%1.09

55%0.35

30%0.89

LeftMiddleRight

successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best

Virginia1 unplaced

DeepShort

—

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

North Carolina2 unplaced

DeepShort

—

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

Virginia1 unplaced

DeepShort

-1.1

0.8

—

3.0

0.8

-1.5

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

North Carolina2 unplaced

DeepShort

-1.3

—

-1.3

5.4

1.3

-2.1

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

Virginia

DeepShort

— · —

20 · 8

—

18 · 57

41 · 3

34 · 19

LeftMiddleRight

airYACone scale for both teams

North Carolina

DeepShort

23 · 0

—

— · —

37 · 12

42 · 45

15 · 34

LeftMiddleRight

airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

CarriesYdsPointsOL / RB

Virginia

J. Taylor21C. Morris3H. Waylee3

5.313%100%

3.46%100%

2.00%0%

LeftMiddleRight

carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)

North Carolina

J. McGill3Unattributed27

—

4.47%100%

4.217%0%

LeftMiddleRight

carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)

Virginia

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

North Carolina

—

133

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

Virginia

1.5

1.4

-0.4

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

North Carolina

—

2.8

0.4

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

Virginia

34 · 12 · 0

53 · 6 · 0

4 · 0 · 0

LeftMiddleRight

OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

North Carolina

—

98 · 26 · 16

22 · 4 · 0

LeftMiddleRight

OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Win probability

North Carolina's chance to win after each play

Availability

ACC gameday report · Oct 25 · archive

Virginia

Out

Dre Walker

Andre Greene Jr.

Kevon Graynew

Cam Rossnew

North Carolina

Out

Game-time decision

In the box score

Virginia

Out 0 of 18

North Carolina

Out 0 of 10

Game-time decision 0 of 1

Listed players who recorded at least one stat in this game. Participation reports aren't published, so a player who played without recording a stat (often a lineman) isn't counted.

Previous 10 meetings vs. Virginia

North Carolina 5–5 vs Virginia

2024 · wk 9North Carolina 41 @ Virginia 14
2023 · wk 8Virginia 31 @ North Carolina 27
2022 · wk 10North Carolina 31 @ Virginia 28
2021 · wk 3Virginia 39 @ North Carolina 59
2020 · wk 9North Carolina 41 @ Virginia 44
2019 · wk 10Virginia 38 @ North Carolina 31
2018 · wk 9North Carolina 21 @ Virginia 31
2017 · wk 7Virginia 20 @ North Carolina 14
2016 · wk 8North Carolina 35 @ Virginia 14
2015 · wk 8Virginia 13 @ North Carolina 26

Previous 3 meetings vs. Tony Elliott

North Carolina 2–1 vs Tony Elliott

2024 · wk 9North Carolina 41 @ Virginia 14
2023 · wk 8Virginia 31 @ North Carolina 27
2022 · wk 10North Carolina 31 @ Virginia 28

Research

Keep this open while you look at others