THIRD AND DATA

Week 11 · 2025

California at #15 Louisville

Sat 11/08/2025 07:00 PML&N Federal Credit Union StadiumLouisville pregame89% — Pregame win probability: 89% for Louisville. Louisville favored, and lost — California won.Conference

59°Cloudy0 mph N · 49% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

California

29

7–6

#15 Louisville

26

9–4

Attendance

51,381

reported

Passing

California1 unplaced
J. Jesus15 of 22K. Raphael5 of 6T. Grizzell2 of 6Other8 of 14
DeepShort
15.00.0
39.09.0
12.02.0
4.33.6
6.49.2
5.75.3
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Louisville2 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
C. Bell6 of 11C. Lacy4 of 6D. Collins2 of 6Other8 of 14
DeepShort
0.0
40.018.0
37.017.0
1.94.7
5.36.0
3.86.0
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
California1 unplaced
DeepShort
67%1.95
100%2.13
50%2.05
36%0.77
36%1.40
53%1.22
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Louisville1 unplaced
DeepShort
0%
100%3.00
100%3.48
0%
40%0.67
22%1.05
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
California1 unplaced
DeepShort
45
39
48
60
70
85
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Louisville1 unplaced
DeepShort
0
40
37
13
79
34
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
California1 unplaced
DeepShort
3.5
2.1
3.0
-1.1
1.3
6.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Louisville1 unplaced
DeepShort
-6.0
3.0
3.5
-4.2
0.2
-0.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
California
DeepShort
45 · 0
30 · 9
44 · 4
28 · 32
24 · 46
27 · 58
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Louisville
DeepShort
— · —
22 · 18
20 · 17
-1 · 14
19 · 60
4 · 30
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

California
J. Sagapolutele1Unattributed2
2.767%0%
4.46%100%
5.00%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Louisville
D. Watson8M. Moss6Unattributed11
17.733%100%
4.016%80%
5.017%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
California
8
79
5
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Louisville
53
76
30
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
California
0.1
1.9
0.1
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Louisville
4.2
6.2
2.7
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
California
6 · 3 · 0
57 · 10 · 14
5 · 0 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Louisville
14 · 10 · 33
62 · 16 · 0
12 · 8 · 11
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous meetings vs. California

No other meetings in the seasons currently loaded.

Research

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