Week 12 · 2025

#19 Virginia at Duke

Sat 11/15/2025 03:30 PMWallace Wade StadiumDuke pregame64% — Pregame win probability: 64% for Duke. Duke favored, and lost — Virginia won.Conference

68°Cloudy12 mph SW · 45% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

#19 Virginia

11–3

Duke

9–5

Attendance

27,215

reported

Passing

AttemptsSuccessYdsPointsAir / YAC

Virginia2 unplaced2 int

C. Ross7 of 10T. Harris8 of 9J. Taylor1 of 4Other7 of 10

DeepShort

—

27.52.0

11.09.9

6.23.5

6.75.9

LeftMiddleRight

caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best

Duke

Q. Brown3 of 6C. Barkate3 of 5N. Sheppard3 of 5Other9 of 17Unattributed0 of 2

DeepShort

0.0

10.010.0

8.06.0

10.49.2

7.02.5

4.23.2

LeftMiddleRight

caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best

Virginia2 unplaced

DeepShort

—

100%2.96

54%1.99

40%1.48

31%2.56

LeftMiddleRight

successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best

Duke

DeepShort

67%3.92

25%2.48

43%1.80

75%0.99

25%1.31

LeftMiddleRight

successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best

Virginia2 unplaced

DeepShort

—

143

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

Duke

DeepShort

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

Virginia2 unplaced

DeepShort

—

5.9

12.4

1.4

5.8

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

Duke

DeepShort

-3.4

3.8

-3.4

4.5

2.9

0.8

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

Virginia

DeepShort

—

51 · 4

44 · 99

17 · 14

46 · 41

LeftMiddleRight

airYACone scale for both teams

Duke

DeepShort

— · —

20 · 10

26 · 6

18 · 55

18 · 10

31 · 19

LeftMiddleRight

airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

CarriesYdsPointsOL / RB

Virginia

J. Taylor18H. Waylee16X. Davis3Other2Unattributed2

3.815%0%

3.722%67%

11.030%100%

LeftMiddleRight

carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)

Duke

N. Sheppard12D. Mensah4A. Castle3

7.00%0%

2.333%0%

3.525%0%

LeftMiddleRight

carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)

Virginia

110

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

Duke

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

Virginia

-2.9

-2.3

9.0

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

Duke

1.1

-3.4

1.0

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

Virginia

36 · 5 · 9

49 · 11 · 9

30 · 13 · 69

LeftMiddleRight

OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Duke

9 · 5 · 2

18 · 3 · 0

21 · 7 · 0

LeftMiddleRight

OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Win probability

Duke's chance to win after each play

Availability

ACC gameday report · Nov 15 · archive

In the box score

Virginia

Out 0 of 16

Duke

Out 0 of 10

Listed players who recorded at least one stat in this game. Participation reports aren't published, so a player who played without recording a stat (often a lineman) isn't counted. 1 listed player couldn't be matched to a roster and isn't counted.

Previous 11 meetings vs. Virginia

Duke 3–8 vs Virginia

2025 · wk 15Duke 27 @ Virginia 20
2023 · wk 12Duke 27 @ Virginia 30
2022 · wk 5Virginia 17 @ Duke 38
2021 · wk 7Duke 0 @ Virginia 48
2020 · wk 4Duke 20 @ Virginia 38
2019 · wk 8Duke 14 @ Virginia 48
2018 · wk 8Virginia 28 @ Duke 14
2017 · wk 6Duke 21 @ Virginia 28
2016 · wk 5Virginia 34 @ Duke 20
2015 · wk 12Duke 34 @ Virginia 42
2014 · wk 8Virginia 13 @ Duke 20

Previous 4 meetings vs. Manny Diaz

Virginia 1–3 vs Manny Diaz

2025 · wk 15Duke 27 @ Virginia 20
2021 · wk 5 (coaching change that season)Virginia 30 @ Miami 28
2020 · wk 8Virginia 14 @ Miami 19
2019 · wk 7Virginia 9 @ Miami 17

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Previous 3 meetings vs. Tony Elliott

Duke 2–1 vs Tony Elliott

2025 · wk 15Duke 27 @ Virginia 20
2023 · wk 12Duke 27 @ Virginia 30
2022 · wk 5Virginia 17 @ Duke 38

Research

Keep this open while you look at others