THIRD AND DATA

Week 12 · 2025

North Carolina at Wake Forest

Sat 11/15/2025 04:30 PMAllegacy Federal Credit Union StadiumWake Forest pregame60% — Pregame win probability: 60% for Wake Forest. Wake Forest favored, and won.Conference

66°Cloudy3 mph SW · 42% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

North Carolina

12

4–8

Wake Forest

28

9–4

Attendance

32,390

reported

Passing

North Carolina
J. Shipp4 of 9K. Paysour5 of 9J. Johnson5 of 7Other7 of 12
DeepShort
0.0
—
0.0
4.75.9
9.32.0
6.87.8
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Wake Forest1 unplaced
C. Hernandez5 of 9S. Racanelli3 of 5S. Berkhalter2 of 4Other4 of 5Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.38.7
16.38.8
3.75.7
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
North Carolina
DeepShort
0%
—
0%
44%1.21
75%1.85
62%0.81
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Wake Forest1 unplaced
DeepShort
0%
0%
0%
50%0.45
75%1.66
46%0.72
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
North Carolina
DeepShort
0
—
0
75
37
89
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Wake Forest1 unplaced
DeepShort
0
0
0
20
65
41
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
DeepShort
-1.6
—
-1.7
3.3
5.0
4.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Wake Forest1 unplaced
DeepShort
-0.2
-1.1
-0.3
-1.3
5.7
0.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
DeepShort
— · —
—
— · —
28 · 47
31 · 6
11 · 78
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Wake Forest
DeepShort
— · —
— · —
— · —
-6 · 26
30 · 35
1 · 40
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

North Carolina
J. McGill2Unattributed4
3.043%50%
3.222%100%
2.817%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Wake Forest1 unplaced
D. Claiborne23R. Ashford7Unattributed6
7.80%0%
4.33%100%
4.50%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
North Carolina
21
29
17
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Wake Forest1 unplaced
39
126
9
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
0.2
-3.3
-0.8
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Wake Forest1 unplaced
0.2
5.5
4.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
17 · 6 · 0
18 · 8 · 5
14 · 3 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Wake Forest
23 · 10 · 10
97 · 23 · 14
8 · 2 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. North Carolina

Wake Forest 4–6 vs North Carolina

  • 2024 · wk 12Wake Forest 24 @ North Carolina 31
  • 2022 · wk 11North Carolina 36 @ Wake Forest 34
  • 2021 · wk 10Wake Forest 55 @ North Carolina 58
  • 2020 · wk 11Wake Forest 53 @ North Carolina 59
  • 2019 · wk 3North Carolina 18 @ Wake Forest 24
  • 2015 · wk 7Wake Forest 14 @ North Carolina 50
  • 2012 · wk 2North Carolina 27 @ Wake Forest 28
  • 2011 · wk 9Wake Forest 24 @ North Carolina 49
  • 2007 · wk 9North Carolina 10 @ Wake Forest 37
  • 2006 · wk 9Wake Forest 24 @ North Carolina 17

Research

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