Week 13 · 2025

Duke at North Carolina

Victory Bell, held by DukeSat 11/22/2025 03:30 PMKenan StadiumNorth Carolina pregame32% — Pregame win probability: 32% for North Carolina. Duke favored, and won.Conference

70°Fair2 mph N · 68% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Duke

9–5

North Carolina

4–8

Attendance

50,500

reported

Passing

AttemptsSuccessYdsPointsAir / YAC

Duke

J. Hasley7 of 9C. Barkate2 of 6Q. Brown4 of 6Other7 of 10Unattributed0 of 2

DeepShort

23.00.5

—

0.0

3.13.2

7.04.7

4.88.7

LeftMiddleRight

caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best

North Carolina

J. Shipp8 of 8K. Paysour5 of 7D. June3 of 3Other5 of 9

DeepShort

0.0

20.00.0

0.0

8.25.2

13.811.0

3.72.0

LeftMiddleRight

caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best

Duke

DeepShort

100%3.24

—

43%2.04

60%1.56

40%0.98

LeftMiddleRight

successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best

North Carolina

DeepShort

100%2.62

85%0.98

75%1.55

33%2.02

LeftMiddleRight

successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best

Duke

DeepShort

—

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

North Carolina

DeepShort

107

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

Duke

DeepShort

6.5

—

-3.1

2.0

2.8

-0.8

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

North Carolina

DeepShort

-1.9

2.6

-4.1

8.3

3.7

2.6

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

Duke

DeepShort

45 · 1

—

— · —

3 · 19

21 · 14

-6 · 78

LeftMiddleRight

airYACone scale for both teams

North Carolina

DeepShort

— · —

20 · 0

— · —

39 · 68

22 · 33

14 · 8

LeftMiddleRight

airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

CarriesYdsPointsOL / RB

Duke

N. Sheppard22A. Castle13D. Mensah3Other1

7.40%0%

4.416%75%

6.70%0%

LeftMiddleRight

carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)

North Carolina

6.30%0%

5.18%0%

5.820%100%

LeftMiddleRight

carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)

Duke

135

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

North Carolina

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

Duke

1.7

7.0

1.3

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

North Carolina

0.4

0.6

2.6

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

Duke

16 · 8 · 16

87 · 28 · 28

15 · 6 · 1

LeftMiddleRight

OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

North Carolina

19 · 8 · 1

45 · 20 · 9

18 · 6 · 7

LeftMiddleRight

OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Win probability

North Carolina's chance to win after each play

Availability

ACC gameday report · Nov 22 · archive

In the box score

Duke

Out 0 of 11

North Carolina

Out 0 of 12

Listed players who recorded at least one stat in this game. Participation reports aren't published, so a player who played without recording a stat (often a lineman) isn't counted. 1 listed player couldn't be matched to a roster and isn't counted.

Previous 10 meetings vs. Duke

North Carolina 6–4 vs Duke

2024 · wk 5North Carolina 20 @ Duke 21
2023 · wk 11Duke 45 @ North Carolina 47
2022 · wk 7North Carolina 38 @ Duke 35
2021 · wk 5Duke 7 @ North Carolina 38
2020 · wk 10North Carolina 56 @ Duke 24
2019 · wk 9Duke 17 @ North Carolina 20
2018 · wk 11North Carolina 35 @ Duke 42
2017 · wk 4Duke 27 @ North Carolina 17
2016 · wk 11North Carolina 27 @ Duke 28
2015 · wk 10Duke 31 @ North Carolina 66

Previous 4 meetings vs. Manny Diaz

North Carolina 3–1 vs Manny Diaz

2024 · wk 5North Carolina 20 @ Duke 21
2021 · wk 7 (coaching change that season)Miami 42 @ North Carolina 45
2020 · wk 15North Carolina 62 @ Miami 26
2019 · wk 2Miami 25 @ North Carolina 28

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Research

Keep this open while you look at others