THIRD AND DATA

Week 14 · 2025

North Carolina at NC State

Sat 11/29/2025 07:30 PMCarter-Finley StadiumNC State pregame69% — Pregame win probability: 69% for NC State. NC State favored, and won.Conference

38°Cloudy4 mph ESE · 44% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

North Carolina

19

4–8

NC State

42

8–5

Attendance

56,919

reported

Passing

North Carolina
J. Shipp8 of 13K. Paysour5 of 6D. Gause2 of 4Other7 of 11Unattributed0 of 2
DeepShort
0.0
0.0
10.00.0
6.32.8
7.75.5
4.62.7
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
NC State
J. Joly5 of 6D. Smothers4 of 5T. Anderson2 of 5Other10 of 14
DeepShort
29.04.0
—
—
6.85.2
8.09.0
4.82.9
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
North Carolina
DeepShort
0%
0%
50%2.79
43%1.01
67%1.85
43%1.24
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
NC State
DeepShort
100%1.88
—
—
42%1.57
33%0.21
36%1.39
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
North Carolina
DeepShort
0
0
20
88
23
64
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
NC State
DeepShort
29
—
—
81
24
67
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
DeepShort
-0.4
-2.0
2.5
3.4
3.3
2.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
NC State
DeepShort
1.9
—
—
4.9
-1.4
5.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
DeepShort
— · —
— · —
20 · 0
63 · 25
12 · 11
37 · 27
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
NC State
DeepShort
25 · 4
—
—
34 · 47
15 · 9
38 · 29
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

North Carolina
A. Newkirk1J. McGill1Unattributed14
7.00%0%
4.619%100%
—
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
NC State
W. Wilson11C. Bailey7C. Fields2Unattributed20
8.820%100%
4.010%88%
5.420%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
North Carolina
14
73
—
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
NC State
44
113
27
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
0.6
2.4
—
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
NC State
4.4
12.7
3.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
11 · 5 · 0
40 · 23 · 15
—
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
NC State
25 · 14 · 11
93 · 20 · 5
22 · 8 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. North Carolina

NC State 7–3 vs North Carolina

  • 2024 · wk 14NC State 35 @ North Carolina 30
  • 2023 · wk 13North Carolina 20 @ NC State 39
  • 2022 · wk 13NC State 30 @ North Carolina 27
  • 2021 · wk 13North Carolina 30 @ NC State 34
  • 2020 · wk 8NC State 21 @ North Carolina 48
  • 2019 · wk 14North Carolina 41 @ NC State 10
  • 2018 · wk 13NC State 34 @ North Carolina 28
  • 2017 · wk 13North Carolina 21 @ NC State 33
  • 2016 · wk 13NC State 28 @ North Carolina 21
  • 2015 · wk 13North Carolina 45 @ NC State 34

Previous 10 meetings vs. Dave Doeren

North Carolina 3–7 vs Dave Doeren

  • 2024 · wk 14NC State 35 @ North Carolina 30
  • 2023 · wk 13North Carolina 20 @ NC State 39
  • 2022 · wk 13NC State 30 @ North Carolina 27
  • 2021 · wk 13North Carolina 30 @ NC State 34
  • 2020 · wk 8NC State 21 @ North Carolina 48
  • 2019 · wk 14North Carolina 41 @ NC State 10
  • 2018 · wk 13NC State 34 @ North Carolina 28
  • 2017 · wk 13North Carolina 21 @ NC State 33
  • 2016 · wk 13NC State 28 @ North Carolina 21
  • 2015 · wk 13North Carolina 45 @ NC State 34

Research

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