THIRD AND DATA

Week 10 · 2025

UCF at Baylor

Sat 11/01/2025 12:00 PMMcLane StadiumBaylor pregame58% — Pregame win probability: 58% for Baylor. Baylor favored, and won.Conference

58°Cloudy8 mph NNE · 81% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

UCF

3

5–7

Baylor

30

5–7

Attendance

40,212

reported

Passing

UCF2 unplaced2 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
D. Thomas8 of 10D. Wade5 of 6D. Black1 of 4Other4 of 5Unattributed0 of 6
DeepShort
7.30.0
0.0
0.0
6.210.0
7.49.4
3.03.1
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Baylor
A. Hawkins8 of 10J. Cameron3 of 7K. Wilson4 of 7Other13 of 15Unattributed1 of 1
DeepShort
11.01.0
—
14.82.0
5.22.0
14.012.7
3.65.3
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
UCF2 unplaced
DeepShort
25%1.56
0%
0%
40%0.69
57%1.07
15%-0.11
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Baylor
DeepShort
50%2.10
—
50%2.41
46%1.39
67%1.21
39%1.13
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
UCF2 unplaced
DeepShort
29
0
0
31
52
39
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Baylor
DeepShort
44
—
59
57
42
65
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
UCF2 unplaced
DeepShort
-0.3
-0.4
-0.4
0.0
3.9
-10.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Baylor
DeepShort
-0.4
—
3.2
4.3
2.5
0.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
UCF
DeepShort
29 · 0
— · —
— · —
1 · 30
5 · 47
11 · 28
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Baylor
DeepShort
42 · 2
—
55 · 4
41 · 16
4 · 38
-9 · 74
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

UCF
M. Montgomery12T. Jackson4J. Nixon3Other1
2.517%0%
2.622%50%
10.00%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Baylor
J. Dodds4S. Robertson2Unattributed24
5.343%0%
4.14%100%
4.714%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
UCF
15
23
50
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Baylor
37
95
33
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
UCF
-2.1
-5.4
4.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Baylor
1.0
4.0
1.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
UCF
13 · 3 · 0
22 · 1 · 0
31 · 17 · 8
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Baylor
17 · 12 · 12
83 · 10 · 3
24 · 8 · 4
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 2 meetings vs. UCF

Baylor 1–1 vs UCF

  • 2023 · wk 5Baylor 36 @ UCF 35
  • 2013 · wk 17UCF 52 @ Baylor 42

Previous meeting vs. Dave Aranda

UCF 0–1 vs Dave Aranda

  • 2023 · wk 5Baylor 36 @ UCF 35

Research

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