THIRD AND DATA

Week 14 · 2025

Cincinnati at TCU

Sat 11/29/2025 03:30 PMAmon G. Carter StadiumTCU pregame58% — Pregame win probability: 58% for TCU. TCU favored, and won.Conference

67°Thunderstorm8 mph ENE · 79% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Cincinnati

23

7–6

TCU

45

9–4

Attendance

37,259

reported

Passing

Cincinnati
C. Allen3 of 7C. Goodie5 of 6J. Caldwell4 of 5Other10 of 13Unattributed1 of 2
DeepShort
40.014.0
17.510.0
—
6.04.2
5.01.3
8.74.7
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
TCU2 unplaced
E. McAlister8 of 8J. Manjack4 of 4J. Dwyer2 of 4Other3 of 3Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
—
27.05.0
—
4.13.0
4.50.5
12.85.9
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Cincinnati
DeepShort
100%1.40
50%2.97
—
39%1.09
20%2.55
58%1.37
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
TCU2 unplaced
DeepShort
—
100%0.54
—
57%0.61
50%2.21
70%1.67
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Cincinnati
DeepShort
40
35
—
78
25
104
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
TCU2 unplaced
DeepShort
—
27
—
29
9
128
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Cincinnati
DeepShort
1.4
2.4
—
1.5
1.8
4.1
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
TCU2 unplaced
DeepShort
—
0.5
—
-0.0
2.4
11.9
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Cincinnati
DeepShort
26 · 14
25 · 10
—
40 · 38
21 · 4
62 · 42
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
TCU
DeepShort
—
22 · 5
—
14 · 15
8 · 1
75 · 53
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Cincinnati
B. Sorsby7T. Walker6Unattributed3
5.020%0%
5.329%0%
16.30%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
TCU1 unplaced
J. Payne25J. Hoover3T. Battle2Other1Unattributed18
4.043%0%
3.913%71%
8.317%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Cincinnati
25
37
65
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
TCU1 unplaced
28
116
91
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Cincinnati
2.4
-5.2
6.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
TCU1 unplaced
-0.6
2.2
4.9
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Cincinnati
18 · 8 · 0
23 · 6 · 10
25 · 14 · 31
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
TCU
22 · 8 · 1
93 · 23 · 8
39 · 15 · 42
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 4 meetings vs. Cincinnati

TCU 2–2 vs Cincinnati

  • 2024 · wk 14TCU 20 @ Cincinnati 13
  • 2004 · wk 10TCU 10 @ Cincinnati 21
  • 2003 · wk 13Cincinnati 10 @ TCU 43
  • 2002 · wk 2TCU 29 @ Cincinnati 36

Previous 4 meetings vs. Sonny Dykes

Cincinnati 3–1 vs Sonny Dykes

  • 2024 · wk 14TCU 20 @ Cincinnati 13
  • 2021 · wk 12 (coaching change that season)SMU 14 @ Cincinnati 48
  • 2020 · wk 8Cincinnati 42 @ SMU 13
  • 2018 · wk 9Cincinnati 26 @ SMU 20

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Previous meeting vs. Scott Satterfield

TCU 1–0 vs Scott Satterfield

  • 2024 · wk 14TCU 20 @ Cincinnati 13

Research

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