THIRD AND DATA

Week 14 · 2025

Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State

Sat 11/29/2025 03:00 PMAggie Memorial StadiumNew Mexico State pregame60% — Pregame win probability: 60% for New Mexico State. New Mexico State favored, and lost — Middle Tennessee won.Conference

68°Clear4 mph SSW · 16% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Middle Tennessee

31

3–9

New Mexico State

24

4–8

Attendance

7,381

reported

Passing

Middle Tennessee1 unplaced
M. Butler8 of 10A. Jones4 of 7H. Tipton4 of 6Other7 of 16Unattributed0 of 2
DeepShort
0.0
12.00.0
36.56.0
1.80.3
8.12.0
4.11.6
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
New Mexico State2 unplaced2 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
T. King8 of 12G. Harris2 of 5D. Stanley4 of 4Other10 of 14Unattributed5 of 10
DeepShort
0.0
—
25.816.5
4.14.0
7.14.0
5.41.4
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Middle Tennessee
DeepShort
0%
50%3.09
100%3.48
33%0.79
43%2.46
38%1.07
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
New Mexico State2 unplaced
DeepShort
0%
—
50%3.70
44%0.76
63%0.86
44%1.48
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Middle Tennessee
DeepShort
0
24
73
22
57
65
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
New Mexico State2 unplaced
DeepShort
0
—
103
65
57
86
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Middle Tennessee
DeepShort
-1.7
1.9
7.0
-1.6
6.3
1.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
New Mexico State2 unplaced
DeepShort
-0.3
—
6.4
-1.0
2.8
4.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Middle Tennessee
DeepShort
— · —
24 · 0
61 · 12
20 · 2
49 · 8
49 · 16
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
New Mexico State
DeepShort
— · —
—
70 · 33
25 · 40
29 · 28
72 · 14
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Middle Tennessee
R. Gagliano7D. Taylor4Unattributed20
5.025%100%
5.025%0%
13.10%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
New Mexico State
K. Calloway9D. Stanley8A. Damante3Other1Unattributed3
8.00%0%
3.523%50%
—
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Middle Tennessee
40
80
92
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
New Mexico State
16
76
—
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Middle Tennessee
-5.6
-2.3
5.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
New Mexico State
1.4
-5.7
—
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Middle Tennessee
31 · 12 · 1
49 · 16 · 18
32 · 6 · 54
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
New Mexico State
12 · 5 · 1
52 · 15 · 13
—
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 6 meetings vs. Middle Tennessee

New Mexico State 4–2 vs Middle Tennessee

  • 2024 · wk 13New Mexico State 36 @ Middle Tennessee 21
  • 2023 · wk 10Middle Tennessee 7 @ New Mexico State 13
  • 2004 · wk 11Middle Tennessee 10 @ New Mexico State 44
  • 2003 · wk 8New Mexico State 18 @ Middle Tennessee 35
  • 2002 · wk 11Middle Tennessee 21 @ New Mexico State 24
  • 2001 · wk 10New Mexico State 35 @ Middle Tennessee 39

Previous meeting vs. Tony Sanchez

Middle Tennessee 0–1 vs Tony Sanchez

  • 2024 · wk 13New Mexico State 36 @ Middle Tennessee 21

Previous meeting vs. Derek Mason

New Mexico State 1–0 vs Derek Mason

  • 2024 · wk 13New Mexico State 36 @ Middle Tennessee 21

Research

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