THIRD AND DATA

Week 11 · 2025

Air Force at San José State

Sat 11/08/2025 06:00 PMCEFCU StadiumSan José State pregame66% — Pregame win probability: 66% for San José State. San José State favored, and lost — Air Force won.Conference

74°Clear4 mph NNW · 50% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Air Force

26

4–8

San José State

16

3–9

Attendance

13,637

reported

Passing

Air Force
C. Harris2 of 4B. Fleischmann2 of 3Q. Smith1 of 2Other0 of 1
DeepShort
—
—
0.0
6.06.0
-2.00.0
5.01.7
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
San José State2 unplaced2 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
L. Smith9 of 11D. Scudero5 of 10K. Shoels6 of 8Other7 of 10Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
12.00.0
30.09.0
21.70.0
8.24.6
8.44.7
5.13.6
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Air Force
DeepShort
—
—
0%
33%0.87
0%
40%2.48
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
San José State2 unplaced
DeepShort
33%4.24
100%1.94
67%2.01
80%0.73
60%1.15
44%0.80
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Air Force
DeepShort
—
—
0
18
-2
25
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
San José State2 unplaced
DeepShort
36
30
65
82
42
92
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Air Force
DeepShort
—
—
-1.0
-0.1
-1.5
1.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
San José State2 unplaced
DeepShort
3.8
1.9
3.3
5.2
2.0
3.1
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Air Force
DeepShort
—
—
— · —
12 · 6
-2 · 0
20 · 5
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
San José State
DeepShort
36 · 0
21 · 9
65 · 0
41 · 41
28 · 14
52 · 40
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Air Force
L. Szarka24O. Allen19D. Carson10Other7Unattributed3
4.29%100%
3.17%100%
6.114%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
San José State
L. Radcliffe4X. Ward1Unattributed7
2.550%0%
5.80%100%
6.20%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Air Force
46
93
116
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
San José State
5
58
31
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Air Force
3.2
-0.6
5.7
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
San José State
-4.3
4.2
0.8
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Air Force
37 · 12 · 1
88 · 7 · 0
63 · 29 · 34
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
San José State
3 · 2 · 0
43 · 18 · 4
21 · 5 · 7
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 8 meetings vs. Air Force

San José State 3–5 vs Air Force

  • 2024 · wk 2San José State 17 @ Air Force 7
  • 2023 · wk 4Air Force 45 @ San José State 20
  • 2020 · wk 8Air Force 6 @ San José State 17
  • 2019 · wk 5San José State 24 @ Air Force 41
  • 2016 · wk 12Air Force 41 @ San José State 38
  • 2015 · wk 2San José State 16 @ Air Force 37
  • 1997 · wk 10Air Force 22 @ San José State 25
  • 1996 · wk 2San José State 0 @ Air Force 45

Previous 10 meetings vs. Ken Niumatalolo

Air Force 6–4 vs Ken Niumatalolo

  • 2024 · wk 2San José State 17 @ Air Force 7
  • 2022 · wk 5Navy 10 @ Air Force 13
  • 2021 · wk 2Air Force 23 @ Navy 3
  • 2020 · wk 5Navy 7 @ Air Force 40
  • 2019 · wk 6Air Force 25 @ Navy 34
  • 2018 · wk 6Navy 7 @ Air Force 35
  • 2017 · wk 6Air Force 45 @ Navy 48
  • 2016 · wk 5Navy 14 @ Air Force 28
  • 2015 · wk 5Air Force 11 @ Navy 33
  • 2014 · wk 6Navy 21 @ Air Force 30

Previous 6 meetings vs. Troy Calhoun

San José State 2–4 vs Troy Calhoun

  • 2024 · wk 2San José State 17 @ Air Force 7
  • 2023 · wk 4Air Force 45 @ San José State 20
  • 2020 · wk 8Air Force 6 @ San José State 17
  • 2019 · wk 5San José State 24 @ Air Force 41
  • 2016 · wk 12Air Force 41 @ San José State 38
  • 2015 · wk 2San José State 16 @ Air Force 37

Research

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