THIRD AND DATA

Week 10 · 2025

Arkansas State at Troy

Sat 11/01/2025 08:00 PMVeterans Memorial Stadium (AL)Troy pregame71% — Pregame win probability: 71% for Troy. Troy favored, and lost — Arkansas State won.Conference

48°Cloudy0 mph N · 86% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Arkansas State

23

7–6

Troy

10

8–6

Attendance

23,391

reported

Passing

Arkansas State
C. Rucker4 of 8C. Cobb3 of 6H. Summers4 of 5Other9 of 9Unattributed1 of 1
DeepShort
9.03.0
—
—
4.23.7
10.76.0
12.54.8
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Troy1 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
P. Higgins3 of 6T. Meadows3 of 6D. Epps2 of 5Other11 of 16
DeepShort
—
21.56.0
0.0
5.12.7
5.44.8
2.94.4
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Arkansas State
DeepShort
33%3.36
—
—
40%1.31
75%1.55
75%0.23
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Troy1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
50%4.17
0%
57%1.50
44%1.48
23%0.75
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Arkansas State
DeepShort
27
—
—
42
128
50
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Troy1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
43
0
36
49
38
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
DeepShort
1.2
—
—
2.4
13.2
0.7
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Troy1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
4.1
-4.7
4.8
-0.0
-7.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
DeepShort
24 · 3
—
—
20 · 22
68 · 60
31 · 19
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Troy
DeepShort
—
37 · 6
— · —
20 · 16
30 · 19
3 · 35
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Arkansas State
K. Clay16J. Raynor10D. Spencer5
0.157%0%
1.929%33%
4.30%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Troy
T. Kilcrease8J. Lovett2Unattributed14
6.525%100%
3.325%75%
2.50%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Arkansas State
1
39
13
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Troy
26
53
10
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
-5.0
-6.5
0.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Troy
3.9
-0.2
-1.8
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
0 · 0 · 0
31 · 5 · 2
11 · 3 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Troy
15 · 10 · 5
41 · 7 · 5
10 · 0 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. Arkansas State

Troy 4–6 vs Arkansas State

  • 2024 · wk 9Troy 31 @ Arkansas State 34
  • 2023 · wk 6Arkansas State 3 @ Troy 37
  • 2022 · wk 13Troy 48 @ Arkansas State 19
  • 2020 · wk 9Troy 38 @ Arkansas State 10
  • 2019 · wk 5Arkansas State 50 @ Troy 43
  • 2017 · wk 14Troy 32 @ Arkansas State 25
  • 2016 · wk 12Arkansas State 35 @ Troy 3
  • 2013 · wk 3Troy 34 @ Arkansas State 41
  • 2012 · wk 12Arkansas State 41 @ Troy 34
  • 2011 · wk 14Troy 14 @ Arkansas State 45

Previous meeting vs. Gerad Parker

Arkansas State 1–0 vs Gerad Parker

  • 2024 · wk 9Troy 31 @ Arkansas State 34

Previous 4 meetings vs. Butch Jones

Troy 2–2 vs Butch Jones

  • 2024 · wk 9Troy 31 @ Arkansas State 34
  • 2023 · wk 6Arkansas State 3 @ Troy 37
  • 2022 · wk 13Troy 48 @ Arkansas State 19
  • 2009 · wk 16Central Michigan 44 @ Troy 41

Research

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