THIRD AND DATA

Week 11 · 2025

Southern Miss at Arkansas State

Sat 11/08/2025 12:00 PMCentennial Bank StadiumArkansas State pregame33% — Pregame win probability: 33% for Arkansas State. Southern Miss favored, and won.Conference

73°Clear8 mph S · 33% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Southern Miss

27

7–6

Arkansas State

21

7–6

Attendance

15,441

reported

Passing

Southern Miss3 unplaced2 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
K. Heath5 of 7E. Metcalf4 of 6M. Davis5 of 6Other9 of 12Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
0.0
34.51.5
11.51.0
6.12.6
5.32.7
8.38.9
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Arkansas State7 unplaced5 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
C. Rucker7 of 10C. Cobb6 of 7T. Fortenberry6 of 6Other17 of 21Unattributed2 of 2
DeepShort
13.815.0
21.51.0
—
6.01.4
8.01.8
4.44.5
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Southern Miss3 unplaced
DeepShort
0%
100%1.16
50%3.68
46%1.43
50%0.89
50%1.33
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Arkansas State5 unplaced
DeepShort
25%3.46
100%1.94
—
58%1.10
83%1.39
50%0.72
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Southern Miss3 unplaced
DeepShort
0
69
23
67
21
100
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State5 unplaced
DeepShort
55
43
—
72
96
71
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Southern Miss3 unplaced
DeepShort
-0.7
2.3
2.7
5.9
0.5
4.9
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State5 unplaced
DeepShort
1.4
3.9
—
7.8
12.9
-4.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Southern Miss
DeepShort
— · —
66 · 3
22 · 1
46 · 21
13 · 8
20 · 80
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Arkansas State
DeepShort
40 · 15
41 · 2
—
55 · 17
76 · 20
17 · 54
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Southern Miss1 unplaced
J. Pittman18M. Jones8B. Braxton2Unattributed10
4.79%100%
4.320%0%
6.00%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Arkansas State
D. Spencer11J. Raynor9K. Clay8Other4Unattributed1
2.936%0%
4.86%100%
3.440%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Southern Miss1 unplaced
52
85
42
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
32
77
17
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Southern Miss1 unplaced
0.9
-3.6
2.9
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
-0.9
-0.2
-0.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Southern Miss
40 · 12 · 3
64 · 18 · 8
34 · 13 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
25 · 6 · 2
59 · 13 · 9
12 · 5 · 2
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. Southern Miss

Arkansas State 3–7 vs Southern Miss

  • 2024 · wk 8Arkansas State 44 @ Southern Miss 28
  • 2023 · wk 4Southern Miss 37 @ Arkansas State 44
  • 2022 · wk 7Arkansas State 19 @ Southern Miss 20
  • 2008 · wk 3Southern Miss 27 @ Arkansas State 24
  • 2007 · wk 13Arkansas State 10 @ Southern Miss 16
  • 2005 · wk 15Southern Miss 31 @ Arkansas State 19
  • 1980 · wk 8Arkansas State 0 @ Southern Miss 35
  • 1979 · wk 12Arkansas State 6 @ Southern Miss 14
  • 1978 · wk 2Southern Miss 21 @ Arkansas State 6
  • 1977 · wk 12Arkansas State 14 @ Southern Miss 10

Previous 4 meetings vs. Butch Jones

Southern Miss 1–3 vs Butch Jones

  • 2024 · wk 8Arkansas State 44 @ Southern Miss 28
  • 2023 · wk 4Southern Miss 37 @ Arkansas State 44
  • 2022 · wk 7Arkansas State 19 @ Southern Miss 20
  • 2017 · wk 10 (coaching change that season)Southern Miss 10 @ Tennessee 24

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Previous meeting vs. Charles Huff

Arkansas State 0–1 vs Charles Huff

  • 2023 · wk 13Arkansas State 21 @ Marshall 35

Research

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