THIRD AND DATA

Week 13 · 2025

Louisiana at Arkansas State

Thu 11/20/2025 07:30 PMCentennial Bank StadiumArkansas State pregame57% — Pregame win probability: 57% for Arkansas State. Arkansas State favored, and lost — Louisiana won.Conference

57°Heavy Rain0 mph N · 96% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Louisiana

34

6–7

Arkansas State

30

7–6

Attendance

13,571

reported

Passing

Louisiana
S. Sampson3 of 8C. Jensen4 of 4R. Williams3 of 4Other8 of 9
DeepShort
0.0
11.00.0
—
5.83.5
0.0
6.12.3
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Arkansas State
C. Rucker8 of 13H. Summers5 of 12D. Spencer7 of 7Other5 of 9Unattributed0 of 2
DeepShort
0.0
—
0.0
8.97.2
4.62.3
7.85.0
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Louisiana
DeepShort
0%
50%3.31
—
44%1.10
0%
25%1.41
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Arkansas State
DeepShort
0%
—
0%
62%0.98
47%0.80
63%1.20
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Louisiana
DeepShort
0
22
—
52
0
73
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
DeepShort
0
—
0
116
78
62
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Louisiana
DeepShort
-0.2
2.6
—
3.3
-0.1
3.2
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
DeepShort
-1.6
—
-2.2
5.3
-3.3
3.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Louisiana
DeepShort
— · —
22 · 0
—
24 · 28
— · —
52 · 21
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Arkansas State
DeepShort
— · —
—
— · —
51 · 65
55 · 23
32 · 30
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Louisiana
3.920%100%
4.335%67%
9.67%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Arkansas State
D. Spencer16J. Raynor13K. Clay5
3.317%100%
3.211%67%
6.422%50%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Louisiana
39
73
115
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
20
61
58
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Louisiana
2.5
2.1
10.2
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
0.6
0.3
-2.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Louisiana
29 · 11 · 1
34 · 17 · 27
49 · 22 · 52
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
18 · 2 · 0
51 · 10 · 2
35 · 20 · 10
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. Louisiana

Arkansas State 3–7 vs Louisiana

  • 2024 · wk 11Arkansas State 19 @ Louisiana 55
  • 2023 · wk 10Louisiana 17 @ Arkansas State 37
  • 2022 · wk 8Arkansas State 18 @ Louisiana 38
  • 2021 · wk 8Louisiana 28 @ Arkansas State 27
  • 2020 · wk 10Arkansas State 20 @ Louisiana 27
  • 2019 · wk 8Louisiana 37 @ Arkansas State 20
  • 2018 · wk 9Arkansas State 43 @ Louisiana 47
  • 2017 · wk 8Louisiana 3 @ Arkansas State 47
  • 2016 · wk 13Arkansas State 19 @ Louisiana 24
  • 2015 · wk 8Louisiana 27 @ Arkansas State 37

Previous 4 meetings vs. Butch Jones

Louisiana 3–1 vs Butch Jones

  • 2024 · wk 11Arkansas State 19 @ Louisiana 55
  • 2023 · wk 10Louisiana 17 @ Arkansas State 37
  • 2022 · wk 8Arkansas State 18 @ Louisiana 38
  • 2021 · wk 8Louisiana 28 @ Arkansas State 27

Previous 4 meetings vs. Michael Desormeaux

Arkansas State 1–3 vs Michael Desormeaux

  • 2024 · wk 11Arkansas State 19 @ Louisiana 55
  • 2023 · wk 10Louisiana 17 @ Arkansas State 37
  • 2022 · wk 8Arkansas State 18 @ Louisiana 38
  • 2021 · wk 8 (coaching change that season)Louisiana 28 @ Arkansas State 27

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Research

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