THIRD AND DATA

Week 14 · 2025

Arkansas State at App State

Sat 11/29/2025 02:30 PMKidd Brewer StadiumApp State pregame53% — Pregame win probability: 53% for App State. App State favored, and lost — Arkansas State won.Conference

33°Cloudy4 mph ESE · 44% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Arkansas State

30

7–6

App State

29

5–8

Attendance

23,876

reported

Passing

Arkansas State1 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
C. Rucker10 of 16C. Cobb5 of 6H. Summers3 of 6Other14 of 18
DeepShort
37.0
16.36.5
34.05.0
5.13.0
10.32.6
3.31.3
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
App State
S. Mbake8 of 13D. Larkins6 of 9D. Stroman3 of 5Other8 of 10Unattributed1 of 2
DeepShort
37.0
0.0
0.0
7.74.7
10.79.3
3.84.3
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Arkansas State1 unplaced
DeepShort
100%2.64
50%3.58
100%2.04
50%0.92
67%1.91
31%0.35
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
App State
DeepShort
100%3.06
0%
0%
50%1.37
67%1.75
44%1.19
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Arkansas State1 unplaced
DeepShort
37
65
34
91
93
43
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
App State
DeepShort
37
0
0
77
96
61
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State1 unplaced
DeepShort
2.6
5.6
2.0
4.0
9.8
-2.9
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
App State
DeepShort
3.1
-1.1
-0.6
4.2
9.5
3.2
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
DeepShort
— · —
52 · 13
29 · 5
82 · 9
80 · 13
38 · 5
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
App State
DeepShort
— · —
— · —
— · —
63 · 14
68 · 28
35 · 26
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Arkansas State
K. Clay14J. Raynor9D. Spencer5Other1Unattributed1
6.817%50%
3.710%100%
3.525%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
App State
R. Dubinion11J. Kohl2Unattributed22
4.813%0%
5.713%50%
5.00%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Arkansas State
34
73
14
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
App State
38
136
15
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
1.9
-5.9
-0.7
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
App State
-0.9
-0.2
0.8
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
24 · 12 · 2
62 · 13 · 1
13 · 1 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
App State
25 · 10 · 7
77 · 23 · 43
12 · 5 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 5 meetings vs. Arkansas State

App State 4–1 vs Arkansas State

  • 2021 · wk 10App State 48 @ Arkansas State 14
  • 2020 · wk 8Arkansas State 17 @ App State 45
  • 2018 · wk 7App State 35 @ Arkansas State 9
  • 2015 · wk 10Arkansas State 40 @ App State 27
  • 2014 · wk 12App State 37 @ Arkansas State 32

Previous 2 meetings vs. Butch Jones

App State 1–1 vs Butch Jones

  • 2021 · wk 10App State 48 @ Arkansas State 14
  • 2016 · wk 1App State 13 @ Tennessee 20

Research

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