THIRD AND DATA

Week 11 · 2025

Northern Illinois at Toledo

Wed 11/05/2025 07:00 PMGlass BowlToledo pregame86% — Pregame win probability: 86% for Toledo. Toledo favored, and won.Conference

50°Clear8 mph NW · 58% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Northern Illinois

3

3–9

Toledo

42

8–5

Attendance

22,128

reported

Passing

Northern Illinois
D. Rogers3 of 7R. Taylor3 of 7L. Bryant1 of 4Other4 of 10Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
0.0
0.0
20.57.0
6.09.3
2.98.5
5.08.0
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Toledo
J. Vandeross6 of 10D. Trayanum6 of 6J. Petersen2 of 3Other10 of 13Unattributed1 of 1
DeepShort
—
10.00.0
—
12.48.4
8.35.6
7.47.1
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Northern Illinois
DeepShort
0%
0%
50%2.24
40%0.86
0%
30%1.81
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Toledo
DeepShort
—
50%0.30
—
60%2.16
55%1.49
70%0.83
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Northern Illinois
DeepShort
0
0
41
30
20
50
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Toledo
DeepShort
—
20
—
124
91
74
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Northern Illinois
DeepShort
-0.5
-1.7
1.8
-3.0
-2.5
2.8
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Toledo
DeepShort
—
-0.3
—
11.0
6.2
4.1
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Northern Illinois
DeepShort
— · —
— · —
34 · 7
2 · 28
3 · 17
10 · 40
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Toledo
DeepShort
—
20 · 0
—
48 · 76
52 · 39
17 · 57
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Northern Illinois
C. Wright11T. Johnson10B. Davidson2Other4Unattributed5
1.722%100%
2.914%100%
3.811%50%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Toledo
D. Trayanum11K. Osborne4T. Gleason2Other5Unattributed7
4.436%100%
4.00%100%
6.00%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Northern Illinois
15
40
34
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Toledo
48
44
42
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Northern Illinois
-2.0
-2.6
0.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Toledo
1.7
2.5
3.1
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Northern Illinois
13 · 0 · 0
32 · 5 · 5
28 · 5 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Toledo
31 · 12 · 8
40 · 4 · 0
34 · 12 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. Northern Illinois

Toledo 6–4 vs Northern Illinois

  • 2024 · wk 8Toledo 13 @ Northern Illinois 6
  • 2023 · wk 5Northern Illinois 33 @ Toledo 35
  • 2022 · wk 6Toledo 52 @ Northern Illinois 32
  • 2021 · wk 6Northern Illinois 22 @ Toledo 20
  • 2020 · wk 14Toledo 41 @ Northern Illinois 24
  • 2019 · wk 12Northern Illinois 31 @ Toledo 28
  • 2018 · wk 11Toledo 15 @ Northern Illinois 38
  • 2017 · wk 10Northern Illinois 17 @ Toledo 27
  • 2016 · wk 11Toledo 31 @ Northern Illinois 24
  • 2015 · wk 10Northern Illinois 32 @ Toledo 27

Previous 10 meetings vs. Jason Candle

Northern Illinois 4–6 vs Jason Candle

  • 2024 · wk 8Toledo 13 @ Northern Illinois 6
  • 2023 · wk 5Northern Illinois 33 @ Toledo 35
  • 2022 · wk 6Toledo 52 @ Northern Illinois 32
  • 2021 · wk 6Northern Illinois 22 @ Toledo 20
  • 2020 · wk 14Toledo 41 @ Northern Illinois 24
  • 2019 · wk 12Northern Illinois 31 @ Toledo 28
  • 2018 · wk 11Toledo 15 @ Northern Illinois 38
  • 2017 · wk 10Northern Illinois 17 @ Toledo 27
  • 2016 · wk 11Toledo 31 @ Northern Illinois 24
  • 2015 · wk 10 (coaching change that season)Northern Illinois 32 @ Toledo 27

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Previous 6 meetings vs. Thomas Hammock

Toledo 4–2 vs Thomas Hammock

  • 2024 · wk 8Toledo 13 @ Northern Illinois 6
  • 2023 · wk 5Northern Illinois 33 @ Toledo 35
  • 2022 · wk 6Toledo 52 @ Northern Illinois 32
  • 2021 · wk 6Northern Illinois 22 @ Toledo 20
  • 2020 · wk 14Toledo 41 @ Northern Illinois 24
  • 2019 · wk 12Northern Illinois 31 @ Toledo 28

Research

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