THIRD AND DATA

Week 12 · 2025

Buffalo at Central Michigan

Wed 11/12/2025 07:00 PMKelly/Shorts StadiumCentral Michigan pregame56% — Pregame win probability: 56% for Central Michigan. Central Michigan favored, and won.Conference

37°Fair4 mph SW · 61% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Buffalo

19

5–7

Central Michigan

38

7–6

Attendance

6,833

reported

Passing

Buffalo3 unplaced2 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
N. McMillan5 of 11V. Snow4 of 9J. Gathings6 of 8Other5 of 7Unattributed1 of 4
DeepShort
—
0.0
8.03.0
5.92.1
3.71.3
8.710.0
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Central Michigan4 unplaced2 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
L. Lewis5 of 7T. Mcintosh4 of 4T. Davis2 of 3Other4 of 6
DeepShort
—
—
0.0
5.13.1
19.59.3
10.07.7
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Buffalo3 unplaced
DeepShort
—
0%
25%2.53
47%-0.15
30%1.45
33%1.89
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Central Michigan4 unplaced
DeepShort
—
—
0%
56%0.74
100%1.22
75%1.60
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Buffalo3 unplaced
DeepShort
—
0
32
89
37
78
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Central Michigan4 unplaced
DeepShort
—
—
0
46
78
40
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Buffalo3 unplaced
DeepShort
—
-0.1
0.8
-4.1
-0.4
2.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Central Michigan4 unplaced
DeepShort
—
—
-2.1
2.5
4.9
3.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Buffalo
DeepShort
—
— · —
29 · 3
68 · 21
32 · 5
18 · 60
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Central Michigan
DeepShort
—
—
— · —
21 · 25
41 · 37
17 · 23
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Buffalo
A. Henderson8T. Roberson5J. Wright3Unattributed13
2.00%0%
4.318%67%
10.620%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Central Michigan
M. Beamon11T. Cornist7N. Biggins4Other1Unattributed4
4.317%0%
4.018%100%
2.025%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Buffalo
4
90
53
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Central Michigan
26
68
6
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Buffalo
-1.0
-1.1
3.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Central Michigan
0.3
-1.2
0.7
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Buffalo
4 · 0 · 0
69 · 24 · 5
16 · 5 · 34
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Central Michigan
21 · 7 · 0
49 · 19 · 5
6 · 0 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. Buffalo

Central Michigan 6–4 vs Buffalo

  • 2023 · wk 6Central Michigan 13 @ Buffalo 37
  • 2022 · wk 11Buffalo 27 @ Central Michigan 31
  • 2019 · wk 9Central Michigan 20 @ Buffalo 43
  • 2018 · wk 6Buffalo 34 @ Central Michigan 24
  • 2015 · wk 7Buffalo 14 @ Central Michigan 51
  • 2014 · wk 9Central Michigan 20 @ Buffalo 14
  • 2009 · wk 5Central Michigan 20 @ Buffalo 13
  • 2008 · wk 5Buffalo 25 @ Central Michigan 27
  • 2006 · wk 13Central Michigan 55 @ Buffalo 28
  • 2004 · wk 12Central Michigan 6 @ Buffalo 36

Previous 5 meetings vs. Pete Lembo

Central Michigan 1–4 vs Pete Lembo

  • 2015 · wk 8Central Michigan 23 @ Ball State 21
  • 2014 · wk 8Ball State 32 @ Central Michigan 29
  • 2013 · wk 11Central Michigan 24 @ Ball State 44
  • 2012 · wk 8Ball State 41 @ Central Michigan 30
  • 2011 · wk 8Central Michigan 27 @ Ball State 31

Research

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