THIRD AND DATA

Week 13 · 2025

Miami (OH) at Buffalo

Wed 11/19/2025 07:00 PMUB StadiumBuffalo pregame43% — Pregame win probability: 43% for Buffalo. Miami (OH) favored, and won.Conference

36°Cloudy4 mph NNE · 78% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Miami (OH)

37

7–7

Buffalo

20

5–7

Attendance

15,246

reported

Passing

Miami (OH)
C. Weaver5 of 8K. Perry3 of 7K. Reynolds3 of 5Other1 of 3Unattributed1 of 2
DeepShort
18.63.3
—
8.71.0
3.53.8
—
4.23.0
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Buffalo2 unplaced2 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
N. McMillan8 of 11J. Gathings3 of 10V. Snow9 of 10Other4 of 9Unattributed0 of 6
DeepShort
0.0
—
19.52.8
5.13.1
8.36.7
4.12.3
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Miami (OH)
DeepShort
60%2.30
—
33%1.80
50%0.46
—
33%0.96
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Buffalo2 unplaced
DeepShort
0%
—
67%2.63
43%1.71
75%1.01
25%0.82
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Miami (OH)
DeepShort
93
—
26
28
—
38
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Buffalo2 unplaced
DeepShort
0
—
117
71
33
82
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Miami (OH)
DeepShort
5.8
—
0.5
-0.7
—
-0.2
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Buffalo2 unplaced
DeepShort
-0.6
—
9.3
7.2
2.3
-1.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Miami (OH)
DeepShort
83 · 10
—
25 · 1
9 · 19
—
26 · 12
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Buffalo
DeepShort
— · —
—
106 · 11
49 · 22
13 · 20
59 · 23
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Miami (OH)
J. Brunson16T. Gotkowski8H. Hesson1Other2Unattributed7
10.513%0%
3.221%67%
5.414%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Buffalo
A. Henderson7T. Roberson7L. Sperling3Other2Unattributed8
3.227%0%
3.121%100%
2.550%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Miami (OH)
84
61
38
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Buffalo
35
43
5
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Miami (OH)
5.7
-0.4
-2.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Buffalo
-1.8
-1.2
-0.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Miami (OH)
28 · 10 · 50
51 · 11 · 1
28 · 14 · 2
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Buffalo
25 · 9 · 2
14 · 13 · 15
3 · 2 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. Miami (OH)

Buffalo 5–5 vs Miami (OH)

  • 2023 · wk 12Buffalo 10 @ Miami (OH) 23
  • 2022 · wk 5Miami (OH) 20 @ Buffalo 24
  • 2021 · wk 11Buffalo 18 @ Miami (OH) 45
  • 2020 · wk 11Miami (OH) 10 @ Buffalo 42
  • 2019 · wk 5Buffalo 20 @ Miami (OH) 34
  • 2018 · wk 10Miami (OH) 42 @ Buffalo 51
  • 2017 · wk 8Buffalo 14 @ Miami (OH) 24
  • 2016 · wk 11Miami (OH) 35 @ Buffalo 24
  • 2015 · wk 9Buffalo 29 @ Miami (OH) 24
  • 2014 · wk 5Miami (OH) 27 @ Buffalo 35

Previous 2 meetings vs. Pete Lembo

Miami (OH) 0–2 vs Pete Lembo

  • 2013 · wk 14Miami (OH) 14 @ Ball State 55
  • 2012 · wk 13Ball State 31 @ Miami (OH) 24

Previous 10 meetings vs. Chuck Martin

Buffalo 5–5 vs Chuck Martin

  • 2023 · wk 12Buffalo 10 @ Miami (OH) 23
  • 2022 · wk 5Miami (OH) 20 @ Buffalo 24
  • 2021 · wk 11Buffalo 18 @ Miami (OH) 45
  • 2020 · wk 11Miami (OH) 10 @ Buffalo 42
  • 2019 · wk 5Buffalo 20 @ Miami (OH) 34
  • 2018 · wk 10Miami (OH) 42 @ Buffalo 51
  • 2017 · wk 8Buffalo 14 @ Miami (OH) 24
  • 2016 · wk 11Miami (OH) 35 @ Buffalo 24
  • 2015 · wk 9Buffalo 29 @ Miami (OH) 24
  • 2014 · wk 5Miami (OH) 27 @ Buffalo 35

Research

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