THIRD AND DATA

Week 13 · 2025

Ball State at Toledo

Sat 11/22/2025 02:00 PMGlass BowlToledo pregame98% — Pregame win probability: 98% for Toledo. Toledo favored, and won.Conference

45°Cloudy4 mph NW · 49% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Ball State

9

4–8

Toledo

38

8–5

Attendance

15,127

reported

Passing

Ball State2 unplaced2 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
Q. Magwood2 of 6T. Horton4 of 5D. Hamilton3 of 4Other5 of 12Unattributed0 of 3
DeepShort
11.00.0
16.04.0
34.07.5
0.63.0
18.818.0
0.33.0
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Toledo3 unplaced2 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
J. Vandeross7 of 8R. Treadway2 of 3T. Rudolph2 of 3Other4 of 8Unattributed0 of 2
DeepShort
63.030.0
22.03.0
—
3.64.0
7.55.8
1.63.8
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Ball State2 unplaced
DeepShort
50%1.85
50%3.48
100%1.93
0%
50%2.63
8%1.87
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Toledo2 unplaced
DeepShort
100%6.93
67%3.44
—
40%0.55
50%1.33
29%0.63
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Ball State2 unplaced
DeepShort
22
32
68
5
75
4
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Toledo2 unplaced
DeepShort
63
66
—
18
60
11
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Ball State2 unplaced
DeepShort
1.1
3.1
3.9
-4.6
2.2
-7.7
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Toledo2 unplaced
DeepShort
6.9
5.9
—
-2.0
3.7
-1.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Ball State
DeepShort
22 · 0
28 · 4
53 · 15
-1 · 6
21 · 54
-11 · 15
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Toledo
DeepShort
33 · 30
60 · 6
—
6 · 12
31 · 29
-4 · 15
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Ball State
K. Kelly10T. Horton8I. Thacker2Other3Unattributed17
2.438%0%
4.510%100%
4.942%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Toledo
D. Trayanum15M. Drennen2K. Osborne1Other2Unattributed8
10.620%100%
5.218%0%
4.414%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Ball State
19
86
59
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Toledo
106
57
31
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Ball State
0.0
-3.3
3.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Toledo
8.2
-1.3
0.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Ball State
6 · 8 · 5
63 · 17 · 11
18 · 20 · 25
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Toledo
43 · 25 · 47
30 · 14 · 17
26 · 7 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. Ball State

Toledo 8–2 vs Ball State

  • 2023 · wk 7Toledo 13 @ Ball State 6
  • 2022 · wk 11Ball State 21 @ Toledo 28
  • 2021 · wk 4Toledo 22 @ Ball State 12
  • 2020 · wk 13Ball State 27 @ Toledo 24
  • 2019 · wk 8Toledo 14 @ Ball State 52
  • 2018 · wk 10Ball State 13 @ Toledo 45
  • 2017 · wk 9Toledo 58 @ Ball State 17
  • 2016 · wk 12Ball State 19 @ Toledo 37
  • 2015 · wk 5Toledo 24 @ Ball State 10
  • 2014 · wk 4Ball State 23 @ Toledo 34

Previous 9 meetings vs. Jason Candle

Ball State 2–7 vs Jason Candle

  • 2023 · wk 7Toledo 13 @ Ball State 6
  • 2022 · wk 11Ball State 21 @ Toledo 28
  • 2021 · wk 4Toledo 22 @ Ball State 12
  • 2020 · wk 13Ball State 27 @ Toledo 24
  • 2019 · wk 8Toledo 14 @ Ball State 52
  • 2018 · wk 10Ball State 13 @ Toledo 45
  • 2017 · wk 9Toledo 58 @ Ball State 17
  • 2016 · wk 12Ball State 19 @ Toledo 37
  • 2015 · wk 5 (coaching change that season)Toledo 24 @ Ball State 10

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Research

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