THIRD AND DATA

Week 14 · 2025

Ohio at Buffalo

Fri 11/28/2025 12:00 PMUB StadiumBuffalo pregame32% — Pregame win probability: 32% for Buffalo. Ohio favored, and won.Conference

34°Cloudy26 mph W · 66% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Ohio

31

9–4

Buffalo

26

5–7

Attendance

11,096

reported

Passing

Ohio1 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
C. Hendricks5 of 10R. Harris2 of 5C. Gossett1 of 2Other1 of 3Unattributed1 of 3
DeepShort
20.51.0
—
0.0
5.72.0
15.00.0
5.24.0
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Buffalo5 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
V. Snow4 of 7N. McMillan4 of 5J. Gathings1 of 4Other4 of 5Unattributed0 of 2
DeepShort
29.025.0
—
22.71.0
11.79.5
4.30.0
3.02.6
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Ohio1 unplaced
DeepShort
50%3.22
—
0%
50%1.71
100%2.83
46%1.19
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Buffalo4 unplaced
DeepShort
50%3.74
—
67%2.48
67%0.86
25%0.96
36%0.67
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Ohio1 unplaced
DeepShort
41
—
0
34
15
57
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Buffalo4 unplaced
DeepShort
58
—
68
35
17
33
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Ohio1 unplaced
DeepShort
2.2
—
-2.5
2.6
2.8
1.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Buffalo4 unplaced
DeepShort
3.6
—
4.2
1.6
-1.1
-1.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Ohio
DeepShort
40 · 1
—
— · —
28 · 6
15 · 0
37 · 20
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Buffalo
DeepShort
33 · 25
—
66 · 2
16 · 19
17 · 0
15 · 18
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Ohio
S. Bangura22P. Navarro16D. Brune12Other2
9.80%100%
6.44%50%
6.77%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Buffalo
A. Henderson5T. Roberson5L. Sperling2Other3Unattributed15
6.00%0%
4.40%100%
2.546%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Ohio
98
172
101
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Buffalo
18
71
27
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Ohio
5.2
6.3
0.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Buffalo
1.8
2.6
-4.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Ohio
52 · 25 · 30
106 · 34 · 43
67 · 22 · 19
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Buffalo
14 · 5 · 1
62 · 11 · 0
9 · 5 · 13
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. Ohio

Buffalo 3–7 vs Ohio

  • 2024 · wk 9Buffalo 16 @ Ohio 47
  • 2023 · wk 11Ohio 20 @ Buffalo 10
  • 2022 · wk 10Buffalo 24 @ Ohio 45
  • 2021 · wk 7Ohio 26 @ Buffalo 27
  • 2019 · wk 6Ohio 21 @ Buffalo 20
  • 2018 · wk 12Buffalo 17 @ Ohio 52
  • 2017 · wk 13Ohio 24 @ Buffalo 31
  • 2016 · wk 10Buffalo 10 @ Ohio 34
  • 2015 · wk 8Ohio 17 @ Buffalo 41
  • 2014 · wk 11Buffalo 14 @ Ohio 37

Previous 4 meetings vs. Pete Lembo

Ohio 2–2 vs Pete Lembo

  • 2024 · wk 9 (coaching change that season)Buffalo 16 @ Ohio 47
  • 2015 · wk 12Ball State 31 @ Ohio 48
  • 2012 · wk 12Ohio 27 @ Ball State 52
  • 2011 · wk 7Ball State 23 @ Ohio 20

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Research

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