THIRD AND DATA

Week 14 · 2025

Toledo at Central Michigan

Sat 11/29/2025 12:00 PMKelly/Shorts StadiumCentral Michigan pregame21% — Pregame win probability: 21% for Central Michigan. Toledo favored, and won.Conference

32°Light Snowfall8 mph SSE · 70% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Toledo

21

8–5

Central Michigan

3

7–6

Attendance

6,673

reported

Passing

Toledo
J. Vandeross4 of 8J. Petersen1 of 4T. Crosby2 of 4Other7 of 8
DeepShort
0.0
—
—
3.67.0
15.217.3
9.78.9
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Central Michigan1 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
L. Lewis6 of 10T. Mcintosh6 of 7D. Temple3 of 5Other4 of 7
DeepShort
—
35.57.0
36.00.0
7.46.0
1.20.0
5.25.1
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Toledo
DeepShort
0%
—
—
20%0.24
33%5.13
60%1.41
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Central Michigan1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
100%2.28
100%4.07
44%0.69
20%0.36
17%1.55
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Toledo
DeepShort
0
—
—
18
91
97
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Central Michigan1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
71
36
67
6
62
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Toledo
DeepShort
-2.1
—
—
-1.2
9.0
5.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Central Michigan1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
4.6
4.1
2.6
-2.7
-5.8
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Toledo
DeepShort
— · —
—
—
-3 · 21
22 · 69
35 · 62
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Central Michigan
DeepShort
—
57 · 14
36 · 0
25 · 42
6 · 0
21 · 41
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Toledo
D. Trayanum16K. Osborne9T. Gleason2Unattributed8
8.314%100%
6.614%100%
2.633%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Central Michigan
N. Biggins8J. Labas3T. Cornist3Other4Unattributed14
2.00%0%
4.512%50%
-0.860%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Toledo
58
138
13
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Central Michigan
2
117
-4
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Toledo
2.1
-0.1
-1.8
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Central Michigan
-0.7
-1.0
-5.7
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Toledo
25 · 10 · 26
74 · 28 · 46
11 · 2 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Central Michigan
2 · 0 · 0
81 · 28 · 15
-7 · 0 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. Toledo

Central Michigan 2–8 vs Toledo

  • 2024 · wk 12Central Michigan 10 @ Toledo 37
  • 2023 · wk 13Toledo 32 @ Central Michigan 17
  • 2022 · wk 5Central Michigan 17 @ Toledo 38
  • 2021 · wk 7Toledo 23 @ Central Michigan 26
  • 2020 · wk 15Central Michigan 23 @ Toledo 24
  • 2019 · wk 14Toledo 7 @ Central Michigan 49
  • 2018 · wk 13Central Michigan 13 @ Toledo 51
  • 2017 · wk 7Toledo 30 @ Central Michigan 10
  • 2016 · wk 8Central Michigan 17 @ Toledo 31
  • 2015 · wk 11Toledo 28 @ Central Michigan 23

Previous 10 meetings vs. Jason Candle

Central Michigan 2–8 vs Jason Candle

  • 2024 · wk 12Central Michigan 10 @ Toledo 37
  • 2023 · wk 13Toledo 32 @ Central Michigan 17
  • 2022 · wk 5Central Michigan 17 @ Toledo 38
  • 2021 · wk 7Toledo 23 @ Central Michigan 26
  • 2020 · wk 15Central Michigan 23 @ Toledo 24
  • 2019 · wk 14Toledo 7 @ Central Michigan 49
  • 2018 · wk 13Central Michigan 13 @ Toledo 51
  • 2017 · wk 7Toledo 30 @ Central Michigan 10
  • 2016 · wk 8Central Michigan 17 @ Toledo 31
  • 2015 · wk 11 (coaching change that season)Toledo 28 @ Central Michigan 23

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Research

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