THIRD AND DATA

Week 17 · 2025

#10 Miami at #2 Ohio State

Wed 12/31/2025 07:30 PMAT&T StadiumOhio State pregame71% — Pregame win probability: 71% for Ohio State. Ohio State favored, and lost — Miami won.Neutral site

59°Clear· roof closed0 mph N · 36% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

#10 Miami

24

13–3

#2 Ohio State

14

12–2

Attendance

71,323

reported

Passing

Miami
K. Marion5 of 7C. Daniels5 of 6M. Fletcher2 of 4Other5 of 6Unattributed2 of 3
DeepShort
—
—
0.0
5.54.4
3.50.3
9.05.6
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Ohio State2 unplaced2 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
C. Tate3 of 8J. Smith7 of 8B. Inniss4 of 6Other8 of 10Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
7.30.0
59.09.0
7.72.0
4.73.8
11.35.4
6.97.2
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Miami
DeepShort
—
—
0%
46%1.32
33%1.67
100%1.11
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Ohio State2 unplaced
DeepShort
33%1.17
100%3.51
33%2.66
42%1.51
86%1.42
86%0.45
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Miami
DeepShort
—
—
0
72
21
45
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Ohio State2 unplaced
DeepShort
22
59
23
56
79
48
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Miami
DeepShort
—
—
-1.3
6.3
-0.8
5.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Ohio State2 unplaced
DeepShort
-0.5
3.5
0.8
3.9
8.9
2.2
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Miami
DeepShort
—
—
— · —
24 · 48
20 · 1
17 · 28
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Ohio State
DeepShort
22 · 0
50 · 9
21 · 2
33 · 23
41 · 38
5 · 43
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Miami
M. Fletcher19C. Beck5C. Brown5Unattributed4
5.60%0%
3.913%50%
6.00%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Ohio State
B. Jackson11C. Donaldson7J. Smith1
5.611%0%
2.80%100%
5.00%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Miami
67
63
30
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Ohio State
50
17
20
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Miami
2.2
-2.9
0.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Ohio State
1.1
1.7
0.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Miami
45 · 15 · 13
51 · 12 · 2
23 · 5 · 3
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Ohio State
33 · 11 · 10
16 · 1 · 0
17 · 5 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 5 meetings vs. Miami

Ohio State 3–2 vs Miami

  • 2011 · wk 3Ohio State 6 @ Miami 24
  • 2010 · wk 2Miami 24 @ Ohio State 36
  • 2002 · wk 17Ohio State 31 @ Miami 24
  • 1999 · wk 1Ohio State 12 @ Miami 23
  • 1977 · wk 2Miami 0 @ Ohio State 10

Previous meeting vs. Mario Cristobal

Ohio State 0–1 vs Mario Cristobal

  • 2021 · wk 2 (coaching change that season)Oregon 35 @ Ohio State 28

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Research

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