THIRD AND DATA

Week 17 · 2025

Toledo at Louisville

Tue 12/23/2025 02:00 PMFAU StadiumLouisville pregame72% — Pregame win probability: 72% for Louisville. Louisville favored, and won.Neutral site

79°Rain Shower20 mph E · 58% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Toledo

22

8–5

Louisville

27

9–4

Attendance

—

not reported

Passing

Toledo1 unplaced
J. Vandeross7 of 12D. Trayanum2 of 4J. Petersen2 of 2Other5 of 7Unattributed0 of 3
DeepShort
—
—
—
4.54.7
6.45.3
4.44.7
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Louisville
C. Lacy6 of 9A. Meeks3 of 5T. Hurry3 of 4Other4 of 5Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
0.0
28.04.0
—
4.75.1
6.30.7
8.09.5
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Toledo1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
—
—
27%1.01
38%1.05
44%0.56
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Louisville
DeepShort
0%
100%3.43
—
60%0.77
50%1.66
40%0.85
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Toledo1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
—
—
50
51
40
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Louisville
DeepShort
0
28
—
47
38
40
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Toledo1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
—
—
-2.7
-0.2
-1.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Louisville
DeepShort
-2.0
3.4
—
2.4
3.4
2.1
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Toledo
DeepShort
—
—
—
22 · 28
30 · 21
12 · 28
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Louisville
DeepShort
— · —
24 · 4
—
6 · 41
36 · 2
2 · 38
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Toledo1 unplaced
D. Trayanum15K. Osborne14Unattributed6
3.022%0%
8.47%100%
4.525%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Louisville1 unplaced
I. Brown7M. Moss5A. Meeks1Other1Unattributed17
1.320%0%
5.813%50%
6.827%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Toledo1 unplaced
24
117
54
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Louisville1 unplaced
5
87
61
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Toledo1 unplaced
-1.4
6.4
-0.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Louisville1 unplaced
-3.1
6.2
1.7
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Toledo
18 · 6 · 0
69 · 27 · 31
37 · 12 · 8
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Louisville
5 · 0 · 0
53 · 19 · 22
29 · 25 · 16
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous meeting vs. Toledo

Louisville 1–0 vs Toledo

  • 1981 · wk 2Toledo 6 @ Louisville 31

Research

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