THIRD AND DATA

Week 17 · 2025

#16 USC at TCU

Tue 12/30/2025 09:00 PMAlamodomeTCU pregame38% — Pregame win probability: 38% for TCU. USC favored, and lost — TCU won.Neutral site

46°Clear· roof closed0 mph N · 35% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

#16 USC

27

9–4

TCU

30

9–4

Attendance

54,751

reported

Passing

USC2 unplaced2 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
T. Hines6 of 10J. Richardson2 of 4J. Johnson4 of 4Other6 of 9Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
10.50.0
46.00.0
17.83.5
6.19.6
12.57.0
3.02.6
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
TCU2 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
E. McAlister8 of 11M. Everhart4 of 7J. Payne5 of 6Other11 of 14
DeepShort
11.02.0
—
0.0
4.35.2
12.53.0
6.66.7
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
USC2 unplaced
DeepShort
50%3.37
100%3.39
50%3.09
29%1.02
67%1.79
25%1.02
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
TCU2 unplaced
DeepShort
50%2.87
—
0%
40%1.05
50%1.35
47%1.31
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
USC2 unplaced
DeepShort
21
46
71
43
75
24
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
TCU2 unplaced
DeepShort
22
—
0
64
25
112
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
USC2 unplaced
DeepShort
2.7
3.4
5.2
1.4
6.0
-0.2
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
TCU2 unplaced
DeepShort
2.4
—
-0.9
3.2
1.4
6.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
USC
DeepShort
21 · 0
46 · 0
64 · 7
-5 · 48
47 · 28
11 · 13
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
TCU
DeepShort
20 · 2
—
— · —
-3 · 67
19 · 6
32 · 80
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

USC
R. Wormley3J. Maiava2Unattributed24
5.011%0%
2.630%40%
4.70%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
TCU
J. Payne13K. Seals6T. Battle2Other1Unattributed6
5.20%100%
4.515%67%
5.420%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
USC
45
51
14
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
TCU
26
58
54
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
USC
-0.9
-3.6
1.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
TCU
4.9
1.8
3.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
USC
20 · 11 · 17
41 · 12 · 1
11 · 5 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
TCU
17 · 5 · 6
40 · 7 · 12
41 · 18 · 1
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 5 meetings vs. USC

TCU 3–2 vs USC

  • 1998 · wk 16USC 19 @ TCU 28
  • 1977 · wk 4TCU 0 @ USC 51
  • 1960 · wk 3TCU 7 @ USC 6
  • 1954 · wk 4TCU 20 @ USC 7
  • 1951 · wk 7TCU 26 @ USC 28

Previous 4 meetings vs. Sonny Dykes

USC 4–0 vs Sonny Dykes

  • 2016 · wk 9California 24 @ USC 45
  • 2015 · wk 9USC 27 @ California 21
  • 2014 · wk 12California 30 @ USC 38
  • 2013 · wk 11USC 62 @ California 28

Previous 6 meetings vs. Lincoln Riley

TCU 0–6 vs Lincoln Riley

  • 2021 · wk 7 (coaching change that season)TCU 31 @ Oklahoma 52
  • 2020 · wk 8Oklahoma 33 @ TCU 14
  • 2019 · wk 13TCU 24 @ Oklahoma 28
  • 2018 · wk 8Oklahoma 52 @ TCU 27
  • 2017 · wk 14TCU 17 @ Oklahoma 41
  • 2017 · wk 11TCU 20 @ Oklahoma 38

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Research

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