THIRD AND DATA

Week 17 · 2025

Navy at Cincinnati

Fri 01/02/2026 04:30 PMSimmons Bank Liberty StadiumCincinnati pregame39% — Pregame win probability: 39% for Cincinnati. Navy favored, and won.Neutral site

50°Rain11 mph NE · 96% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Navy

35

11–2

Cincinnati

13

7–6

Attendance

21,908

reported

Passing

Navy
E. Heidenreich4 of 9B. Chatman1 of 2A. Tecza1 of 1Other2 of 2
DeepShort
0.0
30.00.0
0.0
8.77.0
—
2.62.0
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Cincinnati1 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
M. Covey4 of 4I. Johnson2 of 3J. Caldwell0 of 3Other5 of 8Unattributed1 of 1
DeepShort
0.0
—
—
1.44.7
16.38.3
7.48.5
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Navy
DeepShort
0%
100%3.37
0%
50%2.23
—
20%0.08
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Cincinnati1 unplaced
DeepShort
0%
—
—
13%1.69
100%1.48
43%1.56
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Navy
DeepShort
0
30
0
52
—
13
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Cincinnati1 unplaced
DeepShort
0
—
—
11
49
52
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Navy
DeepShort
-1.1
3.4
-0.6
5.3
—
-1.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Cincinnati1 unplaced
DeepShort
-0.1
—
—
-5.3
4.4
1.2
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Navy
DeepShort
— · —
30 · 0
— · —
17 · 35
—
9 · 4
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Cincinnati
DeepShort
— · —
—
—
-3 · 14
24 · 25
1 · 51
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Navy
A. Tecza16B. Horvath15E. Heidenreich10Other9Unattributed1
4.67%100%
4.78%86%
5.418%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Cincinnati
S. Jones15Z. Johnson8B. Lichtenberg1Other1Unattributed12
4.215%0%
3.626%100%
4.40%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Navy
65
118
59
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Cincinnati
55
69
22
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Navy
5.1
-2.9
1.9
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Cincinnati
1.2
-0.8
0.2
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Navy
52 · 13 · 4
84 · 11 · 24
43 · 17 · 4
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Cincinnati
38 · 10 · 9
30 · 12 · 26
17 · 6 · 1
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 6 meetings vs. Navy

Cincinnati 3–3 vs Navy

  • 2022 · wk 10Navy 10 @ Cincinnati 20
  • 2021 · wk 8Cincinnati 27 @ Navy 20
  • 2018 · wk 10Navy 0 @ Cincinnati 42
  • 2017 · wk 4Cincinnati 32 @ Navy 42
  • 1956 · wk 6Cincinnati 7 @ Navy 13
  • 1940 · wk 4Cincinnati 0 @ Navy 14

Research

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