THIRD AND DATA

Week 17 · 2025

Wake Forest at Mississippi State

Fri 01/02/2026 08:00 PMBank of America StadiumMississippi State pregame57% — Pregame win probability: 57% for Mississippi State. Mississippi State favored, and lost — Wake Forest won.Neutral site

54°Overcast4 mph S · 55% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

Wake Forest

43

9–4

Mississippi State

29

5–8

Attendance

29,328

reported

Passing

Wake Forest3 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
C. Hernandez6 of 7S. Berkhalter5 of 6S. Racanelli1 of 4Other3 of 8Unattributed3 of 5
DeepShort
0.0
21.319.0
—
7.99.0
9.71.7
4.29.4
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Mississippi State
B. Thompson4 of 7A. Williams2 of 6A. Evans4 of 5Other6 of 8Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
—
39.01.0
27.31.5
6.38.0
15.517.0
5.43.3
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Wake Forest3 unplaced
DeepShort
0%
33%6.19
—
60%1.53
33%1.82
23%1.68
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Mississippi State
DeepShort
—
100%2.47
67%2.89
44%1.21
50%1.82
30%0.90
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Wake Forest3 unplaced
DeepShort
0
64
—
79
29
55
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Mississippi State
DeepShort
—
39
82
57
62
54
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Wake Forest3 unplaced
DeepShort
-0.2
4.8
—
7.4
1.1
-1.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Mississippi State
DeepShort
—
2.5
4.6
3.1
2.0
0.8
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Wake Forest
DeepShort
— · —
45 · 19
—
16 · 63
24 · 5
-11 · 66
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Mississippi State
DeepShort
—
38 · 1
79 · 3
17 · 40
28 · 34
34 · 20
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Wake Forest1 unplaced
R. Ashford12Unattributed19
6.80%100%
4.80%100%
2.325%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Mississippi State1 unplaced
K. Taylor14F. Bothwell14L. Kromenhoek2Other1Unattributed5
2.333%0%
4.89%50%
2.536%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Wake Forest1 unplaced
41
100
9
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Mississippi State1 unplaced
7
100
28
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Wake Forest1 unplaced
3.9
3.4
-2.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Mississippi State1 unplaced
-0.0
-3.2
-2.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Wake Forest
31 · 13 · 2
78 · 26 · 5
6 · 2 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Mississippi State
3 · 4 · 0
72 · 24 · 12
22 · 6 · 1
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous meeting vs. Wake Forest

Mississippi State 1–0 vs Wake Forest

  • 2011 · wk 16Mississippi State 23 @ Wake Forest 17

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