THIRD AND DATA

Week 17 · 2025

Missouri State at Arkansas State

Thu 12/18/2025 09:00 PMFord Center At The StarArkansas State pregame54% — Pregame win probability: 54% for Arkansas State. Arkansas State favored, and won.Neutral site

Played indoors — conditions are not a factor.

Missouri State

28

7–6

Arkansas State

34

7–6

Attendance

7,782

reported

Passing

Missouri State
A. Luke7 of 12J. Robinson4 of 5J. Askren2 of 4Other12 of 13Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
39.010.0
42.515.8
0.0
7.50.8
2.70.0
4.84.8
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Arkansas State
C. Rucker6 of 11J. Bonelli2 of 5C. Cobb3 of 3Other5 of 10Unattributed1 of 2
DeepShort
36.311.7
—
0.0
3.54.5
8.39.0
6.48.3
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Missouri State
DeepShort
100%3.17
100%4.03
0%
83%1.43
14%2.88
38%1.18
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Arkansas State
DeepShort
75%3.94
—
0%
33%1.56
25%2.64
36%1.82
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Missouri State
DeepShort
39
170
0
45
19
76
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
DeepShort
145
—
0
21
33
89
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Missouri State
DeepShort
3.2
16.1
-0.3
6.4
-0.0
0.8
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
DeepShort
11.6
—
-3.0
1.6
1.3
5.9
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Missouri State
DeepShort
29 · 10
107 · 63
— · —
41 · 4
19 · 0
14 · 62
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Arkansas State
DeepShort
110 · 35
—
— · —
3 · 18
15 · 18
23 · 66
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Missouri State
S. Lawrence16J. Clark6R. Green6
2.217%0%
4.27%100%
4.338%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Arkansas State
K. Clay10D. Spencer6J. Raynor1Unattributed2
6.033%100%
3.022%100%
5.80%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Missouri State
13
59
34
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
30
27
23
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Missouri State
-0.8
2.8
1.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
0.7
-2.1
-0.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Missouri State
11 · 1 · 0
45 · 16 · 3
19 · 11 · 7
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Arkansas State
12 · 5 · 15
25 · 4 · 0
17 · 5 · 3
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 4 meetings vs. Missouri State

Arkansas State 3–1 vs Missouri State

  • 2015 · wk 3Missouri State 7 @ Arkansas State 70
  • 1998 · wk 4Missouri State 24 @ Arkansas State 28
  • 1997 · wk 12Missouri State 27 @ Arkansas State 35
  • 1991 · wk 9Missouri State 37 @ Arkansas State 20

Research

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