THIRD AND DATA

Week 1 · 2026

North Carolina at TCU

Sat 08/29/2026 12:00 PMAviva StadiumTCU pregame70% — Pregame win probability: 70% for TCU. TCU favored, and lost — North Carolina won.Neutral site

North Carolina

15

4–4

TCU

10

4–4

Attendance

—

not yet reported

Passing

North Carolina
J. Thurman4 of 8J. Shipp5 of 8M. Humphrey1 of 3Other6 of 9
DeepShort
—
35.013.0
0.0
4.63.0
7.43.8
10.110.9
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
TCU
E. Small9 of 11J. Payne5 of 5J. Scott1 of 4Other5 of 12
DeepShort
—
40.020.0
0.0
3.46.0
4.14.5
5.51.8
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
North Carolina
DeepShort
—
100%2.12
0%
38%1.35
63%-0.03
60%1.34
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
TCU
DeepShort
—
100%3.10
0%
20%1.40
14%1.86
54%1.30
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
North Carolina
DeepShort
—
35
0
37
59
101
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
TCU
DeepShort
—
40
0
34
29
72
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
DeepShort
—
2.1
-0.9
1.2
-1.9
5.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
TCU
DeepShort
—
3.1
-1.2
-3.3
-3.2
6.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
DeepShort
—
22 · 13
— · —
28 · 9
40 · 19
25 · 76
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
TCU
DeepShort
—
20 · 20
— · —
-8 · 42
20 · 9
54 · 18
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

North Carolina
B. Hall11D. June6J. McGill5Other3Unattributed1
4.90%0%
5.17%0%
3.440%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
TCU
J. Payne23J. Denman8J. Craig1Other1Unattributed2
4.220%100%
1.921%67%
7.89%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
North Carolina
34
66
17
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
TCU
38
27
78
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
3.3
-6.2
-1.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
TCU
5.3
-7.6
1.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
North Carolina
29 · 8 · 0
54 · 16 · 1
14 · 4 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
TCU
32 · 6 · 1
24 · 1 · 0
32 · 12 · 38
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 4 meetings vs. North Carolina

TCU 1–3 vs North Carolina

  • 2025 · wk 1TCU 48 @ North Carolina 14
  • 1997 · wk 7North Carolina 31 @ TCU 10
  • 1994 · wk 2TCU 17 @ North Carolina 27
  • 1940 · wk 5TCU 14 @ North Carolina 21

Previous meeting vs. Sonny Dykes

North Carolina 0–1 vs Sonny Dykes

  • 2025 · wk 1TCU 48 @ North Carolina 14

Previous meeting vs. Bill Belichick

TCU 1–0 vs Bill Belichick

  • 2025 · wk 1TCU 48 @ North Carolina 14

Research

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