THIRD AND DATA

Week 7 · 2026

Florida State at #3 Miami

Sat 10/17/2026 07:00 PMHard Rock StadiumMiami pregame87% — Pregame win probability: 87% for Miami. Miami favored, and won.Conference

77°Rain6 mph NW · 94% humidityMeasured at kickoff, by an official weather station

Florida State

35

3–5

#3 Miami

43

8–0

Attendance

—

not yet reported

Passing

Florida State1 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
DeepShort
23.825.0
—
10.86.0
14.418.0
5.46.0
5.16.6
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Miami1 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
DeepShort
—
30.00.0
22.013.0
9.311.6
7.04.6
7.62.9
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Florida State1 unplaced
DeepShort
50%4.59
—
33%2.87
80%1.83
20%2.55
33%1.55
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Miami1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
100%3.32
50%2.53
50%2.10
63%1.80
55%1.44
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Florida State1 unplaced
DeepShort
95
—
65
72
27
46
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Miami1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
30
44
112
56
84
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Florida State1 unplaced
DeepShort
7.5
—
2.7
7.0
1.7
-0.7
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Miami1 unplaced
DeepShort
—
3.3
2.1
6.2
7.2
1.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Florida State
DeepShort
45 · 50
—
53 · 12
0 · 72
9 · 18
13 · 33
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Miami
DeepShort
—
30 · 0
31 · 13
31 · 81
24 · 32
64 · 20
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Florida State
O. Kromah13T. Wisner9A. Daniels6Other1Unattributed2
4.00%50%
5.60%100%
2.017%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Miami
M. Fletcher16J. Mallory13J. Lyle9Other5
7.90%0%
4.510%50%
7.28%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Florida State
28
89
12
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Miami
79
95
86
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Florida State
-2.4
-2.5
-6.0
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Miami
7.1
-8.0
1.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Florida State
22 · 9 · 1
58 · 16 · 20
12 · 0 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Miami
44 · 21 · 22
70 · 14 · 15
47 · 20 · 27
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 10 meetings vs. Florida State

Miami 6–4 vs Florida State

  • 2025 · wk 6Miami 28 @ Florida State 22
  • 2024 · wk 9Florida State 14 @ Miami 36
  • 2023 · wk 11Miami 20 @ Florida State 27
  • 2022 · wk 10Florida State 45 @ Miami 3
  • 2021 · wk 11Miami 28 @ Florida State 31
  • 2020 · wk 4Florida State 10 @ Miami 52
  • 2019 · wk 10Miami 27 @ Florida State 10
  • 2018 · wk 6Florida State 27 @ Miami 28
  • 2017 · wk 6Miami 24 @ Florida State 20
  • 2016 · wk 6Florida State 20 @ Miami 19

Previous 4 meetings vs. Mario Cristobal

Florida State 2–2 vs Mario Cristobal

  • 2025 · wk 6Miami 28 @ Florida State 22
  • 2024 · wk 9Florida State 14 @ Miami 36
  • 2023 · wk 11Miami 20 @ Florida State 27
  • 2022 · wk 10Florida State 45 @ Miami 3

Previous 6 meetings vs. Mike Norvell

Miami 3–3 vs Mike Norvell

  • 2025 · wk 6Miami 28 @ Florida State 22
  • 2024 · wk 9Florida State 14 @ Miami 36
  • 2023 · wk 11Miami 20 @ Florida State 27
  • 2022 · wk 10Florida State 45 @ Miami 3
  • 2021 · wk 11Miami 28 @ Florida State 31
  • 2020 · wk 4Florida State 10 @ Miami 52

Research

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