Week 7 · 2026

North Carolina at Duke

Victory Bell, held by DukeSat 10/17/2026 03:30 PMWallace Wade StadiumDuke pregame62% — Pregame win probability: 62% for Duke. Duke favored, and lost — North Carolina won.Conference

55°Cloudy72% humidityMeasured at kickoff, by an official weather station

North Carolina

4–4

Duke

6–2

Attendance

—

not yet reported

Passing

AttemptsSuccessYdsPointsAir / YAC

North Carolina

DeepShort

—

5.95.6

11.85.6

6.15.0

LeftMiddleRight

caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best

Duke3 unplaced1 int

DeepShort

—

0.0

—

6.87.2

6.86.0

7.19.9

LeftMiddleRight

caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best

North Carolina

DeepShort

—

50%1.03

88%1.86

43%1.04

LeftMiddleRight

successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best

Duke1 unplaced

DeepShort

—

50%1.15

40%1.67

33%2.29

LeftMiddleRight

successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best

North Carolina

DeepShort

—

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

Duke1 unplaced

DeepShort

—

109

106

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

North Carolina

DeepShort

—

1.4

12.0

0.5

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

Duke1 unplaced

DeepShort

—

-0.9

—

8.3

3.0

7.0

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

North Carolina

DeepShort

—

31 · 28

55 · 39

28 · 15

LeftMiddleRight

airYACone scale for both teams

Duke

DeepShort

—

— · —

—

23 · 86

16 · 18

17 · 89

LeftMiddleRight

airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

CarriesYdsPointsOL / RB

North Carolina

D. June12J. McGill12B. Edwards7Other4Unattributed1

4.722%0%

4.35%100%

3.013%0%

LeftMiddleRight

carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)

Duke

N. Sheppard19C. Campbell9Unattributed1

7.79%67%

3.113%75%

4.010%100%

LeftMiddleRight

carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)

North Carolina

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

Duke

LeftMiddleRight

area = yds · one scale for both teams

North Carolina

0.6

1.7

-4.7

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

Duke

-6.7

1.0

-1.7

LeftMiddleRight

area = points added · one scale for both teams

North Carolina

23 · 6 · 14

62 · 10 · 6

12 · 8 · 2

LeftMiddleRight

OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Duke

48 · 17 · 26

24 · 1 · 0

29 · 9 · 0

LeftMiddleRight

OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Win probability

Duke's chance to win after each play · CFBD

Availability

ACC game day · Sat 12:30 PM CT

North Carolina

Out

Kaleb Cost DBnew

Mason Humphrey WRnew

Tre Miller DBnew

Jakob Weatherspoon DB

Ashton Blatt LBnew

Viliami Moala DL

Jordan Hall OL

Keeyun Chapman WR

Vodney Cleveland DL

Jimmy-Phrisco Alo-Suliafu DL

Game-time decision

Isaiah Johnson DL

Greg Smith DBnew

Jordan Washington TE

Duke

Out

Evan Smith CBnew

Matt Craycraft OLnew

Roman Fina OL

Game-time decision

In the box score

North Carolina

Out 0 of 10

Game-time decision 1 of 3 · Greg Smith

Duke

Out 0 of 11

Game-time decision 1 of 1 · Nate Sheppard

Listed players who recorded at least one stat in this game. Participation reports aren't published, so a player who played without recording a stat (often a lineman) isn't counted.

Availability this week

Each report this game week, best players first. A dot means not on that report.

North Carolina3 reports

Player	Thu 7p	Fri 7p	Sat 12:30p
Greg Smith IIIDB	Quest.	Quest.	Game-time
Jaylen HarveyDL	Probable	Available	Available
Peyton WatersDB	Probable	Available	Available
Tre MillerDB	Out	Out	Out
Kaleb CostDB	Doubtful	Out	Out
Isaiah JohnsonDL	Quest.	Quest.	Game-time
Donovan Hoilette Jr.DL	Quest.	Probable	Available
Mason HumphreyWR	Quest.	Out	Out
Jordan WashingtonTE	Quest.	Quest.	Game-time
Jakob WeatherspoonDB	Out	Out	Out
Ashton BlattLB	Doubtful	Out	Out
Jimmy-Phrisco Alo-SuliafuDL	Out	Out	Out

+4 more (hover for names)

Duke2 reports

Player	Thu 7p	Sat 12:30p
Nate SheppardRB	Quest.	Game-time
Evan SmithCB	Quest.	Out
Cosme SalasPK	Out	Out

Previous 10 meetings vs. North Carolina

Duke 5–5 vs North Carolina

2025 · wk 13Duke 32 @ North Carolina 25
2024 · wk 5North Carolina 20 @ Duke 21
2023 · wk 11Duke 45 @ North Carolina 47
2022 · wk 7North Carolina 38 @ Duke 35
2021 · wk 5Duke 7 @ North Carolina 38
2020 · wk 10North Carolina 56 @ Duke 24
2019 · wk 9Duke 17 @ North Carolina 20
2018 · wk 11North Carolina 35 @ Duke 42
2017 · wk 4Duke 27 @ North Carolina 17
2016 · wk 11North Carolina 27 @ Duke 28

Previous 5 meetings vs. Manny Diaz

North Carolina 3–2 vs Manny Diaz

2025 · wk 13Duke 32 @ North Carolina 25
2024 · wk 5North Carolina 20 @ Duke 21
2021 · wk 7 (coaching change that season)Miami 42 @ North Carolina 45
2020 · wk 15North Carolina 62 @ Miami 26
2019 · wk 2Miami 25 @ North Carolina 28

† That school changed coaches during the season and the loader cannot say which games he took.

Previous meeting vs. Bill Belichick

Duke 1–0 vs Bill Belichick

2025 · wk 13Duke 32 @ North Carolina 25

Research

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