THIRD AND DATA

Week 13 · 2026

NC State at North Carolina

Sat 11/28/2026 TBDKenan StadiumNorth Carolina pregame46% — Pregame win probability: 46% for North Carolina. NC State favored.Conference

NC State

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4–4

North Carolina

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4–4

Attendance

—

not yet reported

Neither team has played this game, so these are the seasons each brings into it — where they have attacked, and what opponents have managed in the same places. ⚠ The dots are the durable half: where a team throws and runs holds up week to week, while how well it worked swings on the opponent. Read the counts first and the rates as context.

Passing

NC State attacking · vs what North Carolina has allowed

NC State5 unplaced4 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
K. Jackson19 of 24J. Trader10 of 16P. Douglas14 of 17Other37 of 59Unattributed85 of 137
DeepShort
NCSU12.3
UNC allowed12.7
NCSU24.7
UNC allowed17.0
NCSU9.9
UNC allowed13.4
NCSU6.8
UNC allowed6.5
NCSU6.1
UNC allowed5.0
NCSU7.2
UNC allowed6.0
LeftMiddleRight
attempt this seasonboth numbers are yds/att · ⚠ boxed = biggest edge, not the biggest number

8 games of offense · 8 against North Carolina

North Carolina attacking · vs what NC State has allowed

North Carolina5 unplaced5 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
J. Thurman11 of 21J. Shipp7 of 11M. Humphrey3 of 10Other20 of 34Unattributed111 of 160
DeepShort
UNC6.4
NCSU allowed11.2
UNC10.0
NCSU allowed17.7
UNC29.0
NCSU allowed19.7
UNC6.5
NCSU allowed6.4
UNC8.5
NCSU allowed5.5
UNC7.7
NCSU allowed5.5
LeftMiddleRight
attempt this seasonboth numbers are yds/att · ⚠ boxed = biggest edge, not the biggest number

8 games of offense · 8 against NC State

Rushing

NC State attacking · vs what North Carolina has allowed

NC State
D. Gause83J. Scott59C. Bailey50Other76Unattributed7
NCSU6.4
UNC allowed5.5
NCSU4.3
UNC allowed4.2
NCSU6.8
UNC allowed4.9
LeftMiddleRight
attempt this seasonboth numbers are yds/car · ⚠ boxed = biggest edge, not the biggest number

8 games of offense · 8 against North Carolina

North Carolina attacking · vs what NC State has allowed

North Carolina
D. June71B. Hall60J. McGill47Other34Unattributed2
UNC5.8
NCSU allowed5.7
UNC4.7
NCSU allowed5.0
UNC3.1
NCSU allowed4.7
LeftMiddleRight
attempt this seasonboth numbers are yds/car · ⚠ boxed = biggest edge, not the biggest number

8 games of offense · 8 against NC State

⚠ Both halves are 2026 to date. The defensive side is not a separate observation: it is what this team’s opponents have done to it, summed over the season.

Previous 10 meetings vs. NC State

North Carolina 2–8 vs NC State

  • 2025 · wk 14North Carolina 19 @ NC State 42
  • 2024 · wk 14NC State 35 @ North Carolina 30
  • 2023 · wk 13North Carolina 20 @ NC State 39
  • 2022 · wk 13NC State 30 @ North Carolina 27
  • 2021 · wk 13North Carolina 30 @ NC State 34
  • 2020 · wk 8NC State 21 @ North Carolina 48
  • 2019 · wk 14North Carolina 41 @ NC State 10
  • 2018 · wk 13NC State 34 @ North Carolina 28
  • 2017 · wk 13North Carolina 21 @ NC State 33
  • 2016 · wk 13NC State 28 @ North Carolina 21

Previous meeting vs. Bill Belichick

NC State 1–0 vs Bill Belichick

  • 2025 · wk 14North Carolina 19 @ NC State 42

Previous 10 meetings vs. Dave Doeren

North Carolina 2–8 vs Dave Doeren

  • 2025 · wk 14North Carolina 19 @ NC State 42
  • 2024 · wk 14NC State 35 @ North Carolina 30
  • 2023 · wk 13North Carolina 20 @ NC State 39
  • 2022 · wk 13NC State 30 @ North Carolina 27
  • 2021 · wk 13North Carolina 30 @ NC State 34
  • 2020 · wk 8NC State 21 @ North Carolina 48
  • 2019 · wk 14North Carolina 41 @ NC State 10
  • 2018 · wk 13NC State 34 @ North Carolina 28
  • 2017 · wk 13North Carolina 21 @ NC State 33
  • 2016 · wk 13NC State 28 @ North Carolina 21

Research

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