THIRD AND DATA

Week 1 · 2026

Toledo at Michigan State

Fri 09/04/2026 08:00 PMSpartan StadiumMichigan State pregame74% — Pregame win probability: 74% for Michigan State. Michigan State favored, and won.

73°Mostly Cloudy0 mph N · 89% humidityMeasured at kickoff, by an official weather station

Toledo

20

6–2

Michigan State

30

2–6

Attendance

—

not yet reported

Passing

Toledo2 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
A. Dabbs3 of 6B. Hammer3 of 5C. Walendzak3 of 3Other2 of 5
DeepShort
60.024.0
29.08.0
0.0
5.02.7
2.82.5
9.37.3
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Michigan State
R. Bullard7 of 11C. Mccray8 of 10J. Savoury4 of 5Other7 of 8
DeepShort
—
—
0.0
6.91.8
3.53.7
10.22.2
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Toledo2 unplaced
DeepShort
100%6.54
100%3.13
0%
40%0.94
25%2.03
29%1.76
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Michigan State
DeepShort
—
—
0%
40%1.05
33%0.57
83%1.70
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Toledo2 unplaced
DeepShort
60
29
0
25
11
65
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Michigan State
DeepShort
—
—
0
104
21
122
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Toledo2 unplaced
DeepShort
6.5
3.1
-0.1
-2.7
1.4
1.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Michigan State
DeepShort
—
—
-0.8
3.9
-1.2
16.2
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Toledo
DeepShort
36 · 24
21 · 8
— · —
17 · 8
6 · 5
36 · 29
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Michigan State
DeepShort
—
—
— · —
82 · 22
10 · 11
98 · 24
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Toledo
C. Miller8C. Walendzak7J. Richter2Other1
2.550%0%
7.639%0%
-3.067%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Michigan State
C. Edwards27J. Patterson7M. Parrish6Other5
4.825%0%
3.521%33%
6.00%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Toledo
5
99
-9
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Michigan State
38
119
18
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Toledo
-0.6
4.9
-3.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Michigan State
0.9
-9.1
0.5
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Toledo
5 · 0 · 0
27 · 13 · 63
-11 · 0 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Michigan State
25 · 10 · 6
88 · 25 · 12
15 · 5 · 0
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous meeting vs. Toledo

Michigan State 1–0 vs Toledo

  • 1925 · wk 8Toledo 0 @ Michigan State 58

Research

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