| 2026 | New Mexico State1–2 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #73 (of 138 teams · 409.7 yds/g · 1,229 yards) | #81 (of 138 teams · 29.0 pts/g · 87 points) | #89 (of 138 teams · 358.7 yds/g allowed · 1,076 yards) | #93 (of 138 teams · 25.7 pts/g allowed · 77 points) | #91 (of 138 teams · +3.3 /g · +10 on the season) | #69 (of 138 teams · +0 on the season · 4 taken, 4 given · +0.00 /g) | #100 (of 138 teams · 28:30 /g · 1h 25m on the season) | #77 (of 138 teams · 23% of last season's passing production returning) | #86 (of 138 teams · 30% of last season's receiving production returning) | #68 (of 138 teams · 42% of last season's rushing production returning) | #135 (of 138 teams · 460.4 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #72 (of 138 teams · 0.155 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #98 (of 138 teams · 0.096 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #75 (of 138 teams · 44% of plays successful) | #95 (of 138 teams · 42% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #23 (of 138 teams · 1.426 average PPA on successful plays) | #53 (of 138 teams · 1.162 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| Median | of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026 | 0 (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (Regular-season wins over teams ranked 1–10 in the final Playoff Committee Rankings: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Regular season only, with each opponent's rank frozen at the final regular-season poll — so a team you pin is measured against games it could also have played.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (Regular-season wins over teams ranked 1–25 in the final Playoff Committee Rankings: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Regular season only, with each opponent's rank frozen at the final regular-season poll — so a team you pin is measured against games it could also have played.) | #85 (Total offense: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #35–#123. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #87 (Scoring offense: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #55–#123. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #61 (Total defense: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #31–#132. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #75 (Scoring defense: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #44–#138. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #91 (Point margin: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #55–#138. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #69 (Turnover margin: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #43–#126. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #88 (Possession: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #20–#130. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #68 (Returning passing: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #15–#127. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #57 (Returning receiving: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #10–#113. 1 of 10 in the top 10.) | #68 (Returning rushing: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #7–#133. 1 of 10 in the top 10.) | #109 (Team talent: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #79–#135. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #98 (Offensive EPA: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #44–#129. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #72 (Defensive EPA: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #20–#138. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #75 (Offensive success rate: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #38–#124. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #47 (Defensive success rate: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #25–#135. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #73 (Offensive explosiveness: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #15–#110. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #51 (Defensive explosiveness: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range #18–#133. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) |
| 2026 | Delaware1–1 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #43 (of 138 teams · 442.5 yds/g · 885 yards) | #55 (of 138 teams · 34.0 pts/g · 68 points) | #49 (of 138 teams · 291.5 yds/g allowed · 583 yards) | #70 (of 138 teams · 21.0 pts/g allowed · 42 points) | #65 (of 138 teams · +13.0 /g · +26 on the season) | #69 (of 138 teams · +0 on the season · 3 taken, 3 given · +0.00 /g) | #88 (of 138 teams · 29:19 /g · 0h 59m on the season) | #26 (of 138 teams · 98% of last season's passing production returning) | #10 — top 10 (of 138 teams · 80% of last season's receiving production returning) | #7 — top 10 (of 138 teams · 99% of last season's rushing production returning) | #134 (of 138 teams · 483.5 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #98 (of 138 teams · 0.084 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #20 (of 138 teams · -0.151 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #100 (of 138 teams · 40% of plays successful) | #25 (of 138 teams · 31% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #15 (of 138 teams · 1.449 average PPA on successful plays) | #77 (of 138 teams · 1.236 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Florida International1–1 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #35 (of 138 teams · 460.5 yds/g · 921 yards) | #111 (of 138 teams · 21.0 pts/g · 42 points) | #31 (of 138 teams · 258.0 yds/g allowed · 516 yards) | #66 (of 138 teams · 19.5 pts/g allowed · 39 points) | #95 (of 138 teams · +1.5 /g · +3 on the season) | #91 (of 138 teams · -1 on the season · 3 taken, 4 given · -0.50 /g) | #20 (of 138 teams · 34:07 /g · 1h 08m on the season) | #124 (of 138 teams · 0% of last season's passing production returning) | #41 (of 138 teams · 49% of last season's receiving production returning) | #80 (of 138 teams · 34% of last season's rushing production returning) | #90 (of 138 teams · 607.6 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #116 (of 138 teams · -0.003 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #50 (of 138 teams · -0.045 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #103 (of 138 teams · 39% of plays successful) | #34 (of 138 teams · 33% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #91 (of 138 teams · 1.149 average PPA on successful plays) | #40 (of 138 teams · 1.115 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Jacksonville State1–2 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #85 (of 138 teams · 381.0 yds/g · 1,143 yards) | #87 (of 138 teams · 27.7 pts/g · 83 points) | #61 (of 138 teams · 306.7 yds/g allowed · 920 yards) | #81 (of 138 teams · 23.0 pts/g allowed · 69 points) | #88 (of 138 teams · +4.7 /g · +14 on the season) | #89 (of 138 teams · -1 on the season · 3 taken, 4 given · -0.33 /g) | #122 (of 138 teams · 26:17 /g · 1h 19m on the season) | #61 (of 138 teams · 66% of last season's passing production returning) | #87 (of 138 teams · 29% of last season's receiving production returning) | #65 (of 138 teams · 44% of last season's rushing production returning) | #93 (of 138 teams · 602.8 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #68 (of 138 teams · 0.167 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #68 (of 138 teams · 0.016 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #55 (of 138 teams · 47% of plays successful) | #84 (of 138 teams · 40% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #73 (of 138 teams · 1.216 average PPA on successful plays) | #30 (of 138 teams · 1.072 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Kennesaw State1–1 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #60 (of 138 teams · 420.0 yds/g · 840 yards) | #66 (of 138 teams · 32.0 pts/g · 64 points) | #68 (of 138 teams · 321.5 yds/g allowed · 643 yards) | #44 (of 138 teams · 15.5 pts/g allowed · 31 points) | #55 (of 138 teams · +16.5 /g · +33 on the season) | #43 (of 138 teams · +1 on the season · 4 taken, 3 given · +0.50 /g) | #104 (of 138 teams · 28:10 /g · 0h 56m on the season) | #127 (of 138 teams · 0% of last season's passing production returning) | #113 (of 138 teams · 18% of last season's receiving production returning) | #133 (of 138 teams · 1% of last season's rushing production returning) | #133 (of 138 teams · 502.9 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #80 (of 138 teams · 0.130 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #57 (of 138 teams · -0.017 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #38 (of 138 teams · 50% of plays successful) | #47 (of 138 teams · 35% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #97 (of 138 teams · 1.136 average PPA on successful plays) | #36 (of 138 teams · 1.100 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Liberty1–1 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #103 (of 138 teams · 350.0 yds/g · 700 yards) | #120 (of 138 teams · 18.5 pts/g · 37 points) | #54 (of 138 teams · 297.5 yds/g allowed · 595 yards) | #75 (of 138 teams · 21.5 pts/g allowed · 43 points) | #102 (of 138 teams · -3.0 /g · -6 on the season) | #43 (of 138 teams · +1 on the season · 3 taken, 2 given · +0.50 /g) | #28 (of 138 teams · 33:13 /g · 1h 06m on the season) | #55 (of 138 teams · 83% of last season's passing production returning) | #92 (of 138 teams · 28% of last season's receiving production returning) | #102 (of 138 teams · 22% of last season's rushing production returning) | #79 (of 138 teams · 633.4 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #129 (of 138 teams · -0.116 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #72 (of 138 teams · 0.029 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #108 (of 138 teams · 38% of plays successful) | #47 (of 138 teams · 35% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #68 (of 138 teams · 1.225 average PPA on successful plays) | #110 (of 138 teams · 1.348 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Middle Tennessee1–1 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #91 (of 138 teams · 374.0 yds/g · 748 yards) | #66 (of 138 teams · 32.0 pts/g · 64 points) | #58 (of 138 teams · 300.0 yds/g allowed · 600 yards) | #70 (of 138 teams · 21.0 pts/g allowed · 42 points) | #70 (of 138 teams · +11.0 /g · +22 on the season) | #43 (of 138 teams · +1 on the season · 2 taken, 1 given · +0.50 /g) | #90 (of 138 teams · 29:14 /g · 0h 58m on the season) | #70 (of 138 teams · 29% of last season's passing production returning) | #76 (of 138 teams · 33% of last season's receiving production returning) | #103 (of 138 teams · 21% of last season's rushing production returning) | #109 (of 138 teams · 571.5 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #44 (of 138 teams · 0.263 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #104 (of 138 teams · 0.118 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #61 (of 138 teams · 46% of plays successful) | #105 (of 138 teams · 43% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #89 (of 138 teams · 1.157 average PPA on successful plays) | #51 (of 138 teams · 1.152 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Missouri State1–1 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #115 (of 138 teams · 325.5 yds/g · 651 yards) | #100 (of 138 teams · 24.0 pts/g · 48 points) | #93 (of 138 teams · 364.0 yds/g allowed · 728 yards) | #121 (of 138 teams · 32.0 pts/g allowed · 64 points) | #115 (of 138 teams · -8.0 /g · -16 on the season) | #69 (of 138 teams · +0 on the season · 3 taken, 3 given · +0.00 /g) | #130 (of 138 teams · 25:34 /g · 0h 51m on the season) | #119 (of 138 teams · 0% of last season's passing production returning) | #57 (of 138 teams · 42% of last season's receiving production returning) | #108 (of 138 teams · 19% of last season's rushing production returning) | #119 (of 138 teams · 549.9 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #104 (of 138 teams · 0.067 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #121 (of 138 teams · 0.191 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #117 (of 138 teams · 37% of plays successful) | #133 (of 138 teams · 50% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #37 (of 138 teams · 1.334 average PPA on successful plays) | #18 (of 138 teams · 1.007 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Sam Houston0–2 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #93 (of 138 teams · 372.0 yds/g · 744 yards) | #117 (of 138 teams · 19.0 pts/g · 38 points) | #87 (of 138 teams · 354.5 yds/g allowed · 709 yards) | #83 (of 138 teams · 23.5 pts/g allowed · 47 points) | #105 (of 138 teams · -4.5 /g · -9 on the season) | #110 (of 138 teams · -2 on the season · 0 taken, 2 given · -1.00 /g) | #72 (of 138 teams · 30:17 /g · 1h 01m on the season) | #68 (of 138 teams · 38% of last season's passing production returning) | #17 (of 138 teams · 66% of last season's receiving production returning) | #44 (of 138 teams · 56% of last season's rushing production returning) | #117 (of 138 teams · 554.5 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #103 (of 138 teams · 0.068 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #88 (of 138 teams · 0.080 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #66 (of 138 teams · 45% of plays successful) | #36 (of 138 teams · 33% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #81 (of 138 teams · 1.180 average PPA on successful plays) | #132 (of 138 teams · 1.589 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Western Kentucky0–2 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Conference USA teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #123 (of 138 teams · 296.0 yds/g · 592 yards) | #123 (of 138 teams · 17.0 pts/g · 34 points) | #132 (of 138 teams · 489.5 yds/g allowed · 979 yards) | #138 (of 138 teams · 59.5 pts/g allowed · 119 points) | #138 (of 138 teams · -42.5 /g · -85 on the season) | #126 (of 138 teams · -3 on the season · 3 taken, 6 given · -1.50 /g) | #46 (of 138 teams · 31:50 /g · 1h 04m on the season) | #15 (of 138 teams · 99% of last season's passing production returning) | #11 (of 138 teams · 78% of last season's receiving production returning) | #58 (of 138 teams · 49% of last season's rushing production returning) | #87 (of 138 teams · 611.5 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #127 (of 138 teams · -0.067 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #138 (of 138 teams · 0.527 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #124 (of 138 teams · 36% of plays successful) | #135 (of 138 teams · 50% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #110 (of 138 teams · 1.103 average PPA on successful plays) | #133 (of 138 teams · 1.622 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |