| 2026 | UNLV1–2 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #89 (of 138 teams · 375.0 yds/g · 1,125 yards) | #128 (of 138 teams · 16.0 pts/g · 48 points) | #106 (of 138 teams · 385.3 yds/g allowed · 1,156 yards) | #93 (of 138 teams · 25.7 pts/g allowed · 77 points) | #118 (of 138 teams · -9.7 /g · -29 on the season) | #108 (of 138 teams · -2 on the season · 2 taken, 4 given · -0.67 /g) | #73 (of 138 teams · 30:16 /g · 1h 31m on the season) | #101 (of 138 teams · 1% of last season's passing production returning) | #90 (of 138 teams · 29% of last season's receiving production returning) | #54 (of 138 teams · 51% of last season's rushing production returning) | #56 (of 138 teams · 696.0 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #125 (of 138 teams · -0.052 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #112 (of 138 teams · 0.147 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #125 (of 138 teams · 35% of plays successful) | #91 (of 138 teams · 41% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #88 (of 138 teams · 1.162 average PPA on successful plays) | #61 (of 138 teams · 1.183 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| Median | of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026 | 0 (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (Regular-season wins over teams ranked 1–10 in the final Playoff Committee Rankings: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Regular season only, with each opponent's rank frozen at the final regular-season poll — so a team you pin is measured against games it could also have played.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (Regular-season wins over teams ranked 1–25 in the final Playoff Committee Rankings: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Regular season only, with each opponent's rank frozen at the final regular-season poll — so a team you pin is measured against games it could also have played.) | #89 (Total offense: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #55–#136. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #87 (Scoring offense: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #7–#135. 1 of 10 in the top 10.) | #84 (Total defense: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #3–#113. 1 of 10 in the top 10.) | #85 (Scoring defense: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #9–#125. 1 of 10 in the top 10.) | #97 (Point margin: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #4–#134. 1 of 10 in the top 10.) | #69 (Turnover margin: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #1–#133. 1 of 10 in the top 10.) | #73 (Possession: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #9–#121. 1 of 10 in the top 10.) | #66 (Returning passing: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #15–#101. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #98 (Returning receiving: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #14–#132. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #69 (Returning rushing: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #33–#118. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #115 (Team talent: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #56–#137. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #81 (Offensive EPA: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #32–#138. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #82 (Defensive EPA: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #4–#119. 1 of 10 in the top 10.) | #81 (Offensive success rate: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #27–#131. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #90 (Defensive success rate: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #3–#128. 1 of 10 in the top 10.) | #87 (Offensive explosiveness: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #40–#138. 0 of 10 in the top 10.) | #58 (Defensive explosiveness: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range #10–#130. 1 of 10 in the top 10.) |
| 2026 | Air Force1–1 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #61 (of 138 teams · 418.0 yds/g · 836 yards) | #59 (of 138 teams · 33.0 pts/g · 66 points) | #22 (of 138 teams · 240.5 yds/g allowed · 481 yards) | #63 (of 138 teams · 19.0 pts/g allowed · 38 points) | #60 (of 138 teams · +14.0 /g · +28 on the season) | #24 (of 138 teams · +2 on the season · 3 taken, 1 given · +1.00 /g) | #9 — top 10 (of 138 teams · 35:53 /g · 1h 12m on the season) | #15 (of 138 teams · 99% of last season's passing production returning) | #119 (of 138 teams · 14% of last season's receiving production returning) | #33 (of 138 teams · 64% of last season's rushing production returning) | #137 (of 138 teams · 272.4 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #32 (of 138 teams · 0.317 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #44 (of 138 teams · -0.079 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #27 (of 138 teams · 52% of plays successful) | #24 (of 138 teams · 31% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #130 (of 138 teams · 0.984 average PPA on successful plays) | #130 (of 138 teams · 1.529 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Hawai'i1–2 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #104 (of 138 teams · 345.3 yds/g · 1,036 yards) | #113 (of 138 teams · 20.7 pts/g · 62 points) | #113 (of 138 teams · 409.0 yds/g allowed · 1,227 yards) | #93 (of 138 teams · 25.7 pts/g allowed · 77 points) | #107 (of 138 teams · -5.0 /g · -15 on the season) | #69 (of 138 teams · +0 on the season · 3 taken, 3 given · +0.00 /g) | #55 (of 138 teams · 31:08 /g · 1h 33m on the season) | #56 (of 138 teams · 79% of last season's passing production returning) | #51 (of 138 teams · 45% of last season's receiving production returning) | #67 (of 138 teams · 43% of last season's rushing production returning) | #115 (of 138 teams · 556.8 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #111 (of 138 teams · 0.033 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #106 (of 138 teams · 0.130 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #114 (of 138 teams · 37% of plays successful) | #106 (of 138 teams · 43% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #87 (of 138 teams · 1.163 average PPA on successful plays) | #87 (of 138 teams · 1.260 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Nevada1–1 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #62 (of 138 teams · 417.5 yds/g · 835 yards) | #85 (of 138 teams · 28.0 pts/g · 56 points) | #84 (of 138 teams · 348.5 yds/g allowed · 697 yards) | #50 (of 138 teams · 17.0 pts/g allowed · 34 points) | #70 (of 138 teams · +11.0 /g · +22 on the season) | #126 (of 138 teams · -3 on the season · 2 taken, 5 given · -1.50 /g) | #113 (of 138 teams · 27:23 /g · 0h 55m on the season) | #58 (of 138 teams · 71% of last season's passing production returning) | #110 (of 138 teams · 20% of last season's receiving production returning) | #72 (of 138 teams · 39% of last season's rushing production returning) | #118 (of 138 teams · 550.0 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #81 (of 138 teams · 0.125 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #89 (of 138 teams · 0.080 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #71 (of 138 teams · 44% of plays successful) | #114 (of 138 teams · 44% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #40 (of 138 teams · 1.328 average PPA on successful plays) | #10 — top 10 (of 138 teams · 0.972 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | New Mexico2–0 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #70 (of 138 teams · 412.0 yds/g · 824 yards) | #7 — top 10 (of 138 teams · 54.0 pts/g · 108 points) | #3 — top 10 (of 138 teams · 152.0 yds/g allowed · 304 yards) | #9 — top 10 (of 138 teams · 7.0 pts/g allowed · 14 points) | #4 — top 10 (of 138 teams · +47.0 /g · +94 on the season) | #1 — top 10 (of 138 teams · +8 on the season · 8 taken, 0 given · +4.00 /g) | #11 (of 138 teams · 35:31 /g · 1h 11m on the season) | #31 (of 138 teams · 97% of last season's passing production returning) | #98 (of 138 teams · 27% of last season's receiving production returning) | #63 (of 138 teams · 45% of last season's rushing production returning) | #112 (of 138 teams · 568.2 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #52 (of 138 teams · 0.235 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #4 — top 10 (of 138 teams · -0.299 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #50 (of 138 teams · 48% of plays successful) | #3 — top 10 (of 138 teams · 23% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #111 (of 138 teams · 1.102 average PPA on successful plays) | #126 (of 138 teams · 1.441 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | North Dakota State3–0 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #92 (of 138 teams · 373.3 yds/g · 1,120 yards) | #47 (of 138 teams · 36.3 pts/g · 109 points) | #18 (of 138 teams · 230.3 yds/g allowed · 691 yards) | #30 (of 138 teams · 13.0 pts/g allowed · 39 points) | #37 (of 138 teams · +23.3 /g · +70 on the season) | #14 (of 138 teams · +5 on the season · 7 taken, 2 given · +1.67 /g) | #34 (of 138 teams · 32:53 /g · 1h 39m on the season) | — (— of last season's passing production returning) | — (— of last season's receiving production returning) | — (— of last season's rushing production returning) | #131 (of 138 teams · 515.6 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #66 (of 138 teams · 0.178 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #16 (of 138 teams · -0.164 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #79 (of 138 teams · 43% of plays successful) | #68 (of 138 teams · 38% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #47 (of 138 teams · 1.308 average PPA on successful plays) | #11 (of 138 teams · 0.978 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Northern Illinois0–2 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #136 (of 138 teams · 214.0 yds/g · 428 yards) | #135 (of 138 teams · 12.0 pts/g · 24 points) | #104 (of 138 teams · 380.5 yds/g allowed · 761 yards) | #125 (of 138 teams · 34.0 pts/g allowed · 68 points) | #134 (of 138 teams · -22.0 /g · -44 on the season) | #91 (of 138 teams · -1 on the season · 3 taken, 4 given · -0.50 /g) | #112 (of 138 teams · 27:27 /g · 0h 55m on the season) | #66 (of 138 teams · 44% of last season's passing production returning) | #14 (of 138 teams · 70% of last season's receiving production returning) | #69 (of 138 teams · 40% of last season's rushing production returning) | #126 (of 138 teams · 536.6 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #138 (of 138 teams · -0.240 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #65 (of 138 teams · 0.004 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #131 (of 138 teams · 33% of plays successful) | #90 (of 138 teams · 41% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #135 (of 138 teams · 0.934 average PPA on successful plays) | #50 (of 138 teams · 1.150 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | San José State2–1 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #55 (of 138 teams · 427.3 yds/g · 1,282 yards) | #87 (of 138 teams · 27.7 pts/g · 83 points) | #100 (of 138 teams · 375.3 yds/g allowed · 1,126 yards) | #108 (of 138 teams · 27.7 pts/g allowed · 83 points) | #97 (of 138 teams · +0.0 /g · +0 on the season) | #68 (of 138 teams · +1 on the season · 4 taken, 3 given · +0.33 /g) | #108 (of 138 teams · 27:53 /g · 1h 24m on the season) | #84 (of 138 teams · 13% of last season's passing production returning) | #132 (of 138 teams · 6% of last season's receiving production returning) | #95 (of 138 teams · 26% of last season's rushing production returning) | #110 (of 138 teams · 569.3 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #70 (of 138 teams · 0.164 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #86 (of 138 teams · 0.076 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #89 (of 138 teams · 42% of plays successful) | #128 (of 138 teams · 48% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #60 (of 138 teams · 1.255 average PPA on successful plays) | #14 (of 138 teams · 0.990 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | UTEP1–1 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #107 (of 138 teams · 344.5 yds/g · 689 yards) | #91 (of 138 teams · 25.5 pts/g · 51 points) | #60 (of 138 teams · 306.0 yds/g allowed · 612 yards) | #118 (of 138 teams · 30.5 pts/g allowed · 61 points) | #107 (of 138 teams · -5.0 /g · -10 on the season) | #69 (of 138 teams · +0 on the season · 3 taken, 3 given · +0.00 /g) | #121 (of 138 teams · 26:26 /g · 0h 53m on the season) | #96 (of 138 teams · 3% of last season's passing production returning) | #117 (of 138 teams · 14% of last season's receiving production returning) | #118 (of 138 teams · 14% of last season's rushing production returning) | #102 (of 138 teams · 585.8 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #135 (of 138 teams · -0.135 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #119 (of 138 teams · 0.180 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #81 (of 138 teams · 43% of plays successful) | #89 (of 138 teams · 41% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #82 (of 138 teams · 1.180 average PPA on successful plays) | #68 (of 138 teams · 1.213 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |
| 2026 | Wyoming1–1 | 0 — at or above the median (Top-10 classes in the 5 recruiting cycles before that season: median of 10 Mountain West teams in 2026. Range 0–0.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | — (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) (No Playoff Committee poll for this season — the committee began in 2014. Not the same as no ranked wins.) | #126 (of 138 teams · 288.5 yds/g · 577 yards) | #123 (of 138 teams · 17.0 pts/g · 34 points) | #97 (of 138 teams · 370.5 yds/g allowed · 741 yards) | #85 (of 138 teams · 24.0 pts/g allowed · 48 points) | #112 (of 138 teams · -7.0 /g · -14 on the season) | #133 (of 138 teams · -4 on the season · 2 taken, 6 given · -2.00 /g) | #86 (of 138 teams · 29:47 /g · 1h 00m on the season) | #87 (of 138 teams · 12% of last season's passing production returning) | #67 (of 138 teams · 36% of last season's receiving production returning) | #74 (of 138 teams · 39% of last season's rushing production returning) | #127 (of 138 teams · 528.3 composite · a squad total, so not comparable across seasons) | #117 (of 138 teams · -0.003 predicted points added per play · not opponent-adjusted) | #82 (of 138 teams · 0.065 allowed per play · lower is better, so #1 is the best defence) | #87 (of 138 teams · 42% of plays successful) | #102 (of 138 teams · 42% of opponent plays successful · lower is better) | #138 (of 138 teams · 0.896 average PPA on successful plays) | #58 (of 138 teams · 1.172 allowed on opponent successes · lower is better) |