THIRD AND DATA

Week 17 · 2025

#10 Miami at #6 Ole Miss

Thu 01/08/2026 07:30 PMState Farm StadiumOle Miss pregame42% — Pregame win probability: 42% for Ole Miss. Miami favored, and won.Neutral site

55°Clear· roof closed4 mph W · 41% humidityRecorded at kickoff by College Football Data

#10 Miami

31

13–3

#6 Ole Miss

27

13–2

Attendance

67,928

reported

Passing

Miami1 unplaced1 interceptions, none of which the provider placed on the field
K. Marion7 of 9M. Toney4 of 9C. Daniels4 of 7Other7 of 9Unattributed1 of 2
DeepShort
0.0
52.013.0
0.0
9.59.5
15.33.7
3.54.3
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Ole Miss2 unplaced
D. Stribling5 of 8C. Lee5 of 7H. Wallace4 of 6Other9 of 15Unattributed0 of 1
DeepShort
0.0
—
7.71.0
7.33.9
13.32.7
7.53.9
LeftMiddleRight
caughtincompleteyds/att · YAC/comp · boxed = best
Miami1 unplaced
DeepShort
0%
100%4.53
0%
69%1.52
100%1.72
39%0.94
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Ole Miss
DeepShort
0%
—
33%2.07
44%1.40
100%1.42
55%1.20
LeftMiddleRight
successfulnotrate · explosiveness · boxed = best
Miami1 unplaced
DeepShort
0
52
0
124
46
46
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Ole Miss
DeepShort
0
—
23
132
40
82
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Miami1 unplaced
DeepShort
-2.3
4.5
-3.1
11.4
5.2
-0.6
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Ole Miss
DeepShort
-1.8
—
0.2
5.7
4.3
4.3
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Miami
DeepShort
— · —
39 · 13
— · —
20 · 104
35 · 11
12 · 34
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams
Ole Miss
DeepShort
— · —
—
22 · 1
89 · 43
32 · 8
51 · 31
LeftMiddleRight
airYACone scale for both teams

Rushing

Miami
M. Fletcher22C. Brown13C. Beck8Unattributed3
3.533%100%
4.013%67%
7.50%100%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Ole Miss
K. Lacy10L. Diggs4T. Chambliss4Unattributed2
—
7.627%50%
4.620%0%
LeftMiddleRight
carryyds/car · stuff · power · boxed = best (stuff: low wins)
Miami
21
117
75
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Ole Miss
—
106
23
LeftMiddleRight
area = yds · one scale for both teams
Miami
3.1
4.7
7.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Ole Miss
—
3.9
-1.4
LeftMiddleRight
area = points added · one scale for both teams
Miami
14 · 7 · 2
88 · 22 · 13
50 · 18 · 13
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams
Ole Miss
—
37 · 9 · 63
11 · 5 · 9
LeftMiddleRight
OLRB 5–10RB 10+one scale for both teams

Previous 3 meetings vs. Miami

Ole Miss 2–1 vs Miami

  • 1951 · wk 7Ole Miss 7 @ Miami 20
  • 1940 · wk 12Ole Miss 21 @ Miami 7
  • 1936 · wk 11Ole Miss 14 @ Miami 0

Research

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